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http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2013/20130523_hurricaneoutlook_atlantic.html

Video
http://www.climate.gov/news-features/videos/atlantic-hurricane-season-outlook-may-23-2013-video

The GFS is spinning up the second EPAC TC over the next four days and follows that with a west Caribbean TC at the end of the month.

NOAA Climate Prediction Center- "A more organized MJO favors enhanced rainfall across central America and the western Caribbean Sea during Week-2 where tropical cyclogenesis chances are also elevated" ...

The GFS and CMC continue to show west Caribbean tropical development by the end of the month. The Euro is now forecasting increasing moisture and lowering pressures in the western Caribbean during the ...

The GFS and CMC want to spin up multiple TC's in the EPAC while the GFS alone is still hinting at development in the western Caribbean. The GFS is also hinting at a EPAC TC crossing into the Bay of Ca ...

Per Climate Prediction Center (CPC) for the week of May 22 to May 28.

"The Week-2 outlook is based primarily on dynamical model forecasts since uncertainty is high regarding the evolution of the MJ ...

The first EPAC Invest is up. Invest 90E. This could become a tropical storm for a brief period before the strong westerly shear tears it apart.
6.5N, 95.0W, Winds 20 kts, Pressure 1009 mb. West C ...

The GFS continuous to forecast TC development with the genesis area jumping back and forth from the Caribbean side of Panama to the Pacific side of Panama to both sides of Panama.

06Z GFS at 276 hours.

http://s8.postimg.org/5mw1p568h/gfs_wnatl_276_10m_wnd_precip.jpg

The 18Z GFS begins development in the southwest Caribbean at 252 hours.

http://s23.postimg.org/f8woi7pfr/gfs_wnatl_252_10m_wnd_precip.jpg