Posted: Fri Sep 25, 2009 6:30 am Post subject: Re: Invest 99L now TD-8
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1018 UTC FRI SEP 25 2009
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Posted: Fri Sep 25, 2009 6:37 am Post subject: Re: Invest 99L now TD-8
Now Code Orange
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT
325 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED
THIS MORNING. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME
LESS CONDUCIVE. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
Posted: Fri Sep 25, 2009 12:56 pm Post subject: Re: Invest 99L now TD-8
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT
400 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM IN THIS AREA
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME LESS
CONDUCIVE. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
Posted: Fri Sep 25, 2009 2:53 pm Post subject: Re: Invest 99L now TD-8
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1902 UTC FRI SEP 25 2009
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT (AL082009) 20090925 1800 UTC
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2009 3:41 pm Post subject: Re: Invest 99L now TD-8
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082009
500 PM AST SAT SEP 26 2009
SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS THAT THE CIRCULATION OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT HAS WEAKENED TO AN ELONGATED TROUGH WITH
SEVERAL EMBEDDED VORTICITY CENTERS. WHILE THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE CONVECTION THAT IS CLASSIFIABLE USING THE DVORAK
TECHNIQUE...IT NO LONGER HAS A WELL-ENOUGH DEFINED CIRCULATION TO
BE CONSIDERED A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE REMNANT TROUGH OR
TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
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