Posted: Sun Oct 04, 2009 7:51 am Post subject: Invest 91L now tropical storm Henri
The NHC has gone to code yellow on the large tropical wave located at 15N & 37W. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased over night and there is decent 850 MB vorticity. Wind shear is currently not a problem but ShearZilla is still lurking to the north and west of the system.
Posted: Mon Oct 05, 2009 7:12 am Post subject: Re: Invest 91L now tropical storm Henri
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0331 UTC MON OCT 5 2009
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Posted: Mon Oct 05, 2009 12:42 pm Post subject: Re: Invest 91L now tropical storm Henri
91L is now Code Orange.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GRACE...MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
ATLANTIC.
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED...AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE BEFORE
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME LESS FAVORABLE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE
IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Mon Oct 05, 2009 6:45 pm Post subject: Re: Invest 91L now tropical storm Henri
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GRACE...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF IRELAND.
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE
BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING AND THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS
A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Tue Oct 06, 2009 6:49 am Post subject: Re: Invest 91L now tropical storm Henri
ShearZilla has arrived. Back to code yellow.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2009
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS HAVE BECOME
LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS NO
LONGER APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
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Looks like the system is trying to organize a bit 
. How much longer before it bangs heads with Shearzilla 
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