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Cape Coral - Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Invest 92L now SHARY
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Invest 92L now SHARY
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This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral - Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2010 Hurricane Season
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 6116
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 12:58 pm    Post subject: Invest 92L now SHARY Reply with quote

The NHC has started Invest 92L.

From the NHC at 2 pm.

"DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-
LEVEL AND SURFACE TROUGH ARE LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST
OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD
BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...AND
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS."
_________________
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Last edited by ccstorms on Fri Oct 29, 2010 4:11 am; edited 1 time in total
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 1:24 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L now SHARY Reply with quote


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LOU
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ccstorms
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Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 2:41 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L now SHARY Reply with quote

302

WHXX01 KWBC 271927

CHGHUR

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

1927 UTC WED OCT 27 2010



DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.

PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.



ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR



DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL922010) 20101027 1800 UTC



...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...

101027 1800 101028 0600 101028 1800 101029 0600



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMS 22.5N 53.5W 23.3N 56.0W 24.7N 59.1W 26.9N 62.0W

BAMD 22.5N 53.5W 23.7N 55.1W 25.3N 57.6W 27.4N 60.2W

BAMM 22.5N 53.5W 23.3N 55.6W 24.6N 58.6W 26.5N 61.8W

LBAR 22.5N 53.5W 23.4N 54.7W 24.8N 56.6W 26.6N 58.5W

SHIP 25KTS 31KTS 38KTS 45KTS

DSHP 25KTS 31KTS 38KTS 45KTS



...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...

101029 1800 101030 1800 101031 1800 101101 1800



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMS 29.5N 63.9W 33.8N 60.7W 36.8N 51.4W 40.0N 38.2W

BAMD 30.2N 61.9W 37.5N 55.5W 49.1N 38.3W 57.3N 9.6W

BAMM 29.0N 64.3W 33.9N 60.1W 40.7N 46.2W 49.9N 29.0W

LBAR 29.0N 59.7W 35.2N 55.3W 40.0N 41.7W 46.3N 25.9W

SHIP 51KTS 60KTS 52KTS 33KTS

DSHP 51KTS 60KTS 52KTS 33KTS



...INITIAL CONDITIONS...

LATCUR = 22.5N LONCUR = 53.5W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR = 5KT

LATM12 = 21.9N LONM12 = 52.7W DIRM12 = 304DEG SPDM12 = 4KT

LATM24 = 21.5N LONM24 = 52.0W

WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT

CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 230NM SDEPTH = D

RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 2:45 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L now SHARY Reply with quote


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Weatherman911
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 9:44 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L now SHARY Reply with quote

Bermuda Weather Service
LINK:
http://www.weather.bm/index.asp
__________________________________

Bermuda Public Forecast
Issued At: 11:30 pm Wednesday, October 27, 2010

A few light showers will be in the area through Thursday as high pressure gradually weakens. There is a disturbance about 700 miles to the southeast of Bermuda that is being closely monitored for further development. This low pressure, along with a cold front, brings wet and windy conditions on Friday.
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Weatherman911
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 9:57 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L now SHARY Reply with quote

Image does not update:


SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1040 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

2. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-
LEVEL AND SURFACE TROUGH ARE LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES NORTHEAST
OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD
BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

FORECASTER BROWN
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Weatherman911
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:14 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L now SHARY Reply with quote

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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 4:42 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L now SHARY Reply with quote


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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 6:06 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L now SHARY Reply with quote


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 5:58 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L now SHARY Reply with quote

Headline - Developing rain and increasing winds overnight through Friday

Public Synopsis - A developing low is approaching from the southeast. The low is being monitored for potential subtropical development before it merges with a cold front advancing from the northwest. Wet and windy conditions will continue through Friday with drying on strong northwesterly winds early Saturday.

Tonight - Mostly cloudy with a few evening showers... Winds east-southeasterly moderate, winds increasing strong at times... Low near 22°C/72°F.

Friday - Cloudy, periods of rain or showers & risk of thunder... Winds east-southeasterly moderate to strong, increasing moderate to strong gusting gale force in the evening. becoming light and variable for a time, veering north-northwesterly moderate to strong at night... High near 25°C/77°F.

Saturday - Sunny periods with a few early showers... Winds north-northwesterly strong, with stronger gusts in and around showers, easing moderate to strong by evening, then easing northwesterly moderate late night... Low near 21°C/69°F, high near 24°C/75°F.

Sunday - Mix of sun and cloud... Winds west-northwesterly moderate, easing westerly light to moderate overnight... Low near 21°C/70°F, high near 24°C/76°F.

Monday - Partly cloudy with one or two showers, mainly early and late... Winds westerly light to moderate, backing southwesterly moderate overnight... Low near 21°C/70°F, high near 25°C/77°F.

Climate data recorded Wednesday, October 27, 2010, at the L.F.Wade International Airport -
Hours of sunshine: 9.4
Temperatures
Maximum: 25.8°C/78.4°F
Minimum: 21.3°C/70.3°F
Sea Surface: 23.4°C/74.1°F
Precipitation
Yesterday: mm/TR"
October to date: 88.9mm/3.5"
Past 30 Days: 88.9mm/3.5"

The next scheduled forecast will be issued at 11:30 pm
- Meteorologist: Nick Camizzi, Observer: Wayne Little

Bermuda Weather Service
LINK:
http://www.weather.bm/index.asp
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