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Cape Coral - Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - TOMAS
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TOMAS
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This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral - Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2010 Hurricane Season
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 7305
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 6:13 am    Post subject: Re: TOMAS Reply with quote

000
NOUS42 KNHC 271520 AMD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1120 AM EDT WED 27 OCTOBER 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z OCTOBER 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-148 AMENDMENT

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK : PSBL LOW LEVEL INVEST
NEAR 9.0N AND 57.5W FOR 29/1800Z WITH FOLLOW ON 6 HRLY
FIXES BEGINNING 30/1200Z IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS.
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stormwatcher
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Joined: Jul 19, 2010
Posts: 447
Location: melbourne, fl

PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 11:56 am    Post subject: Re: TOMAS Reply with quote

This thing is ROLLING along to TD STATUS QUICKLY!! Wink
It's a LARGE system too!! Shocked

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ccstorms
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Posts: 7305
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 12:42 pm    Post subject: Re: TOMAS Reply with quote

30%


"A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC ABOUT
850 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A
LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS
IT MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH."
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ccstorms
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Posts: 7305
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 12:47 pm    Post subject: Re: TOMAS Reply with quote

000
NOUS42 KNHC 281430
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT THU 28 OCTOBER 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z OCTOBER 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-149

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (NEAR BERMUDA)
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 29/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01JJA INVEST
C. 29/1400Z
D. 29.0N 65.5W
E. 29/1730Z TO 29/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING WINDWARD ISLANDS)
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 29/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01KKA INVEST
C. 29/1530Z
D. 09.5N 57.0W
E. 29/1730Z TO 29/2200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON SYSTEM
NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AT 30/1200Z NEAR 11N 62W.

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chris
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Joined: Jun 08, 2005
Posts: 3127
Location: Cape Coral, Florida

PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 1:18 pm    Post subject: Re: TOMAS Reply with quote

GFS 168 hours. Image does not update.

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stormwatcher
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Location: melbourne, fl

PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 7:30 pm    Post subject: Re: TOMAS Reply with quote

Is anyone REALLY paying attention to this thing? It just keeps growing in size!! Shocked It is becoming HUGE which we all know takes longer to develop!!!
I am surprised the models are NOT doing a better job picking up on 91L Rolling Eyes

scratch
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Weatherman911
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 7:38 pm    Post subject: Re: TOMAS Reply with quote

Image does not update

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Weatherman911
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 7:50 pm    Post subject: Re: TOMAS Reply with quote

Images do not update



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Weatherman911
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 7:57 pm    Post subject: Re: TOMAS Reply with quote

Image does not update

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Manuel
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Posts: 318
Location: Front Royal VA

PostPosted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 9:01 pm    Post subject: Re: TOMAS Reply with quote

It's as big as Venezuela!

Shocked
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