Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 1:24 pm Post subject: **Wx Oct 18th-22nd,2011,**Tornado Watch,Oct 18th & 19th*
The weather will start going down hill from here on till at least Wednesday night.. First we will have to deal with lots of rain and flooding concerns and then Wednesday night on, it will be very much cooler!! We will also have to watch for the disturbance in the Yucatan! The bad weather is caused by the disturbance and you can follow it here on this link: http://www.capeweather.com/ftopict-1758.html This could be a very serious situation and everyone should monitor this!! Be safe!!
______________________________________________________
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
551 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-162000-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...
BRANDON...TAMPA...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...BRADENTON...
WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK...NORTH PORT...SARASOTA...VENICE...
ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
551 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011
INCREASING RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSSIBLE
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL STREAM INTO ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. THIS MOISTURE
COMBINED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF WATERS AND MERGING WITH A STRONG COLD
FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL SUPPORT INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES ACROSS ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE DURING MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FLOODING IN
THE TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS AS WELL AS OVER EASTERN POLK AND
NORTHERN HIGHLANDS COUNTIES WHICH RECEIVED HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
DURING LAST WEEKENDS HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS AND FASTER FLOWING STREAMS AS
WELL AS THOSE WHO LIVE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT
TO ANY RAPID RISES IN WATER LEVELS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND
SHOULD SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED.
IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY
PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES AS
WELL.
INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE GULF WATERS WILL ALSO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS THROUGH MID WEEK AND SMALL CRAFT
OPERATORS MAY WANT TO POSTPONE TRIPS INTO THE GULF.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.
Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 1:28 pm Post subject: Re: **Wx Oct 18th-22nd,2011,**Tornado Watch,Oct 18th & 19th*
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ZONE FORECAST FOR FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
402 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011
FLZ062-065-162000-
CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...
CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
402 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011
TODAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
70S NEAR THE COAST AND AROUND 70 INLAND. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. BREEZY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 15 TO 20
MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN CLOUDY. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE
OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. BREEZY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S NEAR THE COAST AND IN
THE MID 70S INLAND. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S NEAR THE COAST AND
IN THE MID 80S INLAND. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 60S NEAR
THE COAST AND IN THE LOWER 60S INLAND. CHANCE OF RAIN
20 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S NEAR THE COAST AND
IN THE UPPER 70S INLAND.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S NEAR THE COAST
AND IN THE MID 50S INLAND.
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S
NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE LOWER 80S INLAND. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S
NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE LOWER 60S INLAND.
Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 8:57 pm Post subject: Re: **Wx Oct 18th-22nd,2011,**Tornado Watch,Oct 18th & 19th*
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
808 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011
.UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK. IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CORE OF
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING BETWEEN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
CUBA THIS EVENING. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BRING TROPICAL MOISTURE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH LIGHT SHOWERS CREEPING
INTO LEE COUNTY AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. AS THIS LOW MOVES
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE GULF...MODELS DISAGREE SLIGHTLY ON THE
TRACK...WITH THE CENTER FORECASTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ANYWHERE FROM
PANAMA CITY TO THE NATURE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. AT ANY RATE...EXPECT TO SEE HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS
ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK...WITH
RAINFALL TOTALS GREATER ALONG THE COAST THAN THEY WILL BE INLAND.
NO CHANGES PLANNED FOR THE EVENING FORECAST UPDATE.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST PART OF TONIGHT WITH GUSTY
WINDS DIMINISHING AND BROKEN MID/HIGH CLOUDS. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH SOME MVFR
CEILINGS EXPECTED. VCSH BEGINNING LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING FOR FMY
AND RSW AND THEN MID TO LATE MORNING FOR THE NORTHERN SITES. ALL
SITES WILL ALSO SEE SOME GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
&&
.MARINE...
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA MOVES INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF MONDAY NIGHT WITH BREEZY EAST WINDS SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST AND INCREASING. SHOWERS ENTERING INTO THE SOUTHERN
MARINE ZONES THIS EVENING SHOULD INCREASE AND SLOWLY SPREAD THROUGH
THE GULF WATERS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WINDS AND SEAS COULD
REMAIN ELEVATED ENOUGH FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK...THOUGH WILL LIKELY WAIT ANOTHER COASTAL
WATER FORECAST ISSUANCE BEFORE EXTENDING THE ADVISORY WHEN
CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER. _________________ Todd
Weatherman911 Hurricanes Featuring Lous Weather Watch
http://weatherman911.tripod.com
Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 9:00 pm Post subject: Re: **Wx Oct 18th-22nd,2011,**Tornado Watch,Oct 18th & 19th*
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ZONE FORECAST FOR FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
337 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011
FLZ062-065-170930-
CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...
CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
337 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011
TONIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
70S NEAR THE COAST AND AROUND 70 INLAND. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15
MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
70S NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE LOWER 70S INLAND. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. BREEZY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE
UPPER 80S INLAND. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS.
CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S NEAR THE COAST AND
IN THE MID 70S INLAND. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S NEAR THE COAST AND
IN THE MID 80S INLAND. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE LOWER 60S INLAND. CHANCE OF RAIN
20 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S NEAR THE COAST AND
IN THE UPPER 70S INLAND.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S NEAR THE COAST
AND IN THE MID 50S INLAND.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S
NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE LOWER 80S INLAND. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S
NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE LOWER 60S INLAND. _________________ Todd
Weatherman911 Hurricanes Featuring Lous Weather Watch
http://weatherman911.tripod.com
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 11:33 am Post subject: Re: **Wx Oct 18th-22nd,2011,**Tornado Watch,Oct 18th & 19th*
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ZONE FORECAST FOR FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
407 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011
FLZ062-065-182030-
CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...
CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
407 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011
HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING
TODAY
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. BREEZY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE
OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE MID 70S
INLAND. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. BREEZY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE EVENING THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 60S NEAR THE COAST AND AROUND 60 INLAND.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S NEAR THE COAST AND
IN THE UPPER 70S INLAND. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S NEAR THE COAST
AND IN THE LOWER 50S INLAND.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S NEAR THE COAST AND IN
THE UPPER 70S INLAND.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S NEAR THE COAST AND
IN THE LOWER 50S INLAND.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S
NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE LOWER 80S INLAND. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S
NEAR THE COAST AND AROUND 60 INLAND. _________________ Todd
Weatherman911 Hurricanes Featuring Lous Weather Watch
http://weatherman911.tripod.com
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