Invest 97L-Deactivated

ccstorms · Posted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 3:52 am Post subject: Re: Invest 97L-Deactivated

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE JUST TO THE NORTH OF CURACAO IS PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT
BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER ARUBA...CURACAO AND BONAIRE...THE NORTHWESTERN COAST
OF VENEZUELA...AND THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA TODAY. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 4:50 am Post subject: Re: Invest 97L-Deactivated

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0632 UTC TUE OCT 25 2011

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972011) 20111025 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
111025 0600 111025 1800 111026 0600 111026 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 13.0N 67.0W 13.1N 69.2W 13.5N 71.7W 14.3N 74.1W
BAMD 13.0N 67.0W 13.3N 69.4W 13.6N 71.6W 14.2N 73.7W
BAMM 13.0N 67.0W 13.4N 69.5W 13.9N 71.9W 14.7N 74.2W
LBAR 13.0N 67.0W 13.4N 69.9W 14.1N 72.9W 15.0N 75.5W
SHIP 25KTS 31KTS 37KTS 47KTS
DSHP 25KTS 31KTS 37KTS 47KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
111027 0600 111028 0600 111029 0600 111030 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 15.3N 76.5W 18.1N 80.6W 20.9N 82.1W 22.4N 82.6W
BAMD 15.0N 75.6W 17.1N 79.3W 20.2N 81.5W 23.6N 81.5W
BAMM 15.7N 76.4W 18.6N 80.1W 22.1N 81.2W 25.0N 80.8W
LBAR 16.2N 77.6W 19.3N 79.9W 24.5N 79.1W 30.5N 71.9W
SHIP 57KTS 78KTS 88KTS 86KTS
DSHP 57KTS 78KTS 88KTS 86KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 13.0N LONCUR = 67.0W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 17KT
LATM12 = 12.3N LONM12 = 63.5W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 = 18KT
LATM24 = 12.0N LONM24 = 60.1W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 100NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 4:57 am Post subject: Re: Invest 97L-Deactivated

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 6:59 am Post subject: Re: Invest 97L-Deactivated

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 305 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. UPPER-
LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SOME GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER ARUBA...CURACAO
AND BONAIRE...THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF VENEZUELA...AND THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA TODAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...
PLEASE SEE INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html