TD 3 now Chantal

ccstorms · Posted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:48 pm Post subject: Re: TD 3 now Chantal

Here's the public advisory. It won't be around long and I'm off to bed. Very Happy

000
WTNT33 KNHC 310242
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032007
1100 PM EDT MON JUL 30 2007

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...THIRD CYCLONE OF THE SEASON...FORMS BETWEEN
BERMUDA AND CAPE COD...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST OR ABOUT 270
MILES...435 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 445 MILES...
710 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH. A
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT
BEFORE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL BY LATE TOMORROW.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...36.1 N...66.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

chris · Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 5:30 am Post subject: Re: TD 3 now Chantal

Another storm feeding the fish. Laughing

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Chris
Site Administrator
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ccstorms · Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 7:18 am Post subject: Re: TD 3 now Chantal

TD-3 has a chance to get a name before it becomes extratropical but time is running out. We have a case of Indecent Exposure as at least half of the low level circulation is still exposed. It will take some dense convection to cover a little more of the exposed center and the NHC will upgrade TD-3 to Tropical Storm status before it heads to the graveyard.
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 7:22 am Post subject: Re: TD 3 now Chantal

Missed it by a few minutes. TD-3 is now Chantal. Winds 40 mph. Very Happy

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 9:31 am Post subject: Re: TD 3 now Chantal

40 kts 1001mb.

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL CYCLONE CHANTAL (AL032007) 20070731 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070731 1200 070801 0000 070801 1200 070802 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 39.3N 63.7W 41.3N 62.0W 42.5N 59.0W 43.4N 55.1W
BAMD 39.3N 63.7W 42.2N 60.3W 45.1N 55.0W 48.4N 47.0W
BAMM 39.3N 63.7W 41.7N 61.4W 43.9N 57.1W 46.2N 50.6W
LBAR 39.3N 63.7W 43.0N 59.9W 47.2N 53.5W 52.3N 42.2W
SHIP 40KTS 47KTS 54KTS 60KTS
DSHP 40KTS 47KTS 53KTS 58KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070802 1200 070803 1200 070804 1200 070805 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 44.2N 51.0W 45.1N 39.9W 43.4N 29.2W 40.7N 26.3W
BAMD 52.1N 36.8W 59.4N 16.8W 65.9N 1.6W 71.4N 12.8E
BAMM 48.8N 41.8W 56.1N 22.1W 63.8N 13.0W 68.7N 6.8W
LBAR .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 65KTS 73KTS 59KTS 24KTS
DSHP 64KTS 71KTS 57KTS 22KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 39.3N LONCUR = 63.7W DIRCUR = 25DEG SPDCUR = 25KT
LATM12 = 35.5N LONM12 = 66.5W DIRM12 = 26DEG SPDM12 = 16KT
LATM24 = 32.7N LONM24 = 67.6W
WNDCUR = 40KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1001MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 150NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 90NM
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1202