Posted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 10:48 pm Post subject: Re: TD 3 now Chantal
Here's the public advisory. It won't be around long and I'm off to bed.
000
WTNT33 KNHC 310242
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032007
1100 PM EDT MON JUL 30 2007
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...THIRD CYCLONE OF THE SEASON...FORMS BETWEEN
BERMUDA AND CAPE COD...
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST OR ABOUT 270
MILES...435 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 445 MILES...
710 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH. A
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT
BEFORE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL BY LATE TOMORROW.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...36.1 N...66.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 8:18 am Post subject: Re: TD 3 now Chantal
TD-3 has a chance to get a name before it becomes extratropical but time is running out. We have a case of Indecent Exposure as at least half of the low level circulation is still exposed. It will take some dense convection to cover a little more of the exposed center and the NHC will upgrade TD-3 to Tropical Storm status before it heads to the graveyard. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 8:22 am Post subject: Re: TD 3 now Chantal
Missed it by a few minutes. TD-3 is now Chantal. Winds 40 mph. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2007 10:31 am Post subject: Re: TD 3 now Chantal
40 kts 1001mb.
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE CHANTAL (AL032007) 20070731 1200 UTC
Posted: Wed Aug 01, 2007 8:20 pm Post subject: Re: TD 3 now Chantal
SW46TER wrote:
Once 98L gets out of the way (develop or not) the low developing in the Gulf along the old frontal boundary should lead to a good soaker for the peninsula
I love it when the weather cooperates.... _________________ No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
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