Posted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 8:15 am Post subject: INVEST 99L
Invest 99L is up. East of Windward Islands. Winds 20 kts. Pressure 1010 mb. Looks pretty healthy. Could be the start of the Cape Verde season. Showing expanding convection and good rotation. 9.7N-45.7W
Posted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 8:33 am Post subject: Re: INVEST 99L
First model run. Ships Intensity models have not yet been run. I expect to see them on an update or the next model run.
Mon Jul 30 09:19:27 EDT 2007
WHXX01 KWBC 301254
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1254 UTC MON JUL 30 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 2827 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 8:52 am Post subject: Re: INVEST 99L
Just looked at the latest floater and you can definitely see the rotation you mentioned. Let the games begin. _________________ Chris
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Posted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 8:56 am Post subject: Re: INVEST 99L
000
NOUS42 KNHC 301330
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT MON 30 JULY 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 31/1100Z JULY TO 01/1100Z AUGUST 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-068
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL
INVEST AT 01/1800Z NEAR 12N 57W. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 2827 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:10 am Post subject: Re: INVEST 99L
texascanecaster1 wrote:
morning all i will be posting a topic hear this afternoon and a tropical weather update in my blog later today. 99l....
TCC, please do not post ANY misleading information on this storm. If you want to forecast this storm then please do it on YOUR blog and NOT here. If you decide to post anything here make sure it is facts and not BS. _________________ Chris
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Last edited by chris on Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:42 am; edited 1 time in total
Posted: Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:50 am Post subject: Re: INVEST 99L
Here's the updated tropical model run with the intensity models. Ships models bring it to Hurricane strength in the central Caribbean. Until a surface low is a reality all forecasts of location and intensity are very unreliable. Remember, this is just an 'Invest' and we don't even have a depression yet.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1428 UTC MON JUL 30 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
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