Is convection starting to fire back up? Seems like it has in the last couple of hours. _________________ Chris
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ABNT20 KNHC 010210
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL...RAPIDLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL ABOUT 260
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.
THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAS
CONTINUED TO MOVE WESTWARD AND IS CENTERED ABOUT 425 MILES EAST OF
THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS
DISORGANIZED BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE
FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. EVEN IF
DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT OCCUR...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING A FEW
SQUALLS TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AN AIR
FORCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.
A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF
CAPE HATTERAS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA _________________ Chris
Site Administrator
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Posted: Wed Aug 01, 2007 7:02 am Post subject: Re: INVEST 99L
25 kts, 1009 mb. Ships intensity models ramp it up to 80 kts.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0647 UTC WED AUG 1 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
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