Watching the Gulf

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1202

Good setup but probably moves inland before it can really crank..........TD is good possibility but minimal TS is the extreme with this puppy. But like I said last week, good soaker for the peninsula. On a whitewater rafting trip for next several days...........Hold the fort down Lou

_________________
No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once

alorfi · Posted: Wed Aug 01, 2007 10:43 pm Post subject: Re: Watching the Gulf

I'm still not seeing the big deal with this system and do not see it impacting SW Florida past tomorrow. Just a very hot weekend with scattered evening storms moving toward the coast for a change.

ccstorms · Posted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 10:44 am Post subject: Re: Watching the Gulf

As I mentioned yesterday it all would depend on where the front is sitting that will determine how much rain we get. So close but yet so far. Take a look.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/radtbw.html
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

alorfi · Posted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 11:37 am Post subject: Re: Watching the Gulf

Yup. I see we got over an inch and a half both in Port Charlotte and North Port and not a drop at the house here in the Cape. We are really entering a dry spell now as there will be an awful lot of subsidence above us throughout the weekend. We could get lucky with a renegade convergence storm moving toward the coast, but other than that, probably just lots of hot sunshine.

Weatherman911 · Posted: Fri Aug 03, 2007 12:53 pm Post subject: Re: Watching the Gulf

There is still a 1012 MB Low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico to keep an eye on yet.
_____________________________________________________________
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI AUG 03 2007

(snip)
...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA TO THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST TO THE MIDDLE TEXAS-TO-LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN STATIONARY FRONT PASSES OVER BERMUDA TO 32N70W TO SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N87W...TO THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE NORTH OF 25N EAST OF 95W IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IS ENTERING THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE AREA...AROUND THE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
(/snip)
$$
CANGIALOSI
____________________________________________________________
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI AUG 3 2007
(snip)
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW REMAIN DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
(/snip)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

_________________
Todd
Weatherman911 Hurricanes Featuring Lous Weather Watch
http://weatherman911.tripod.com

ccstorms · Posted: Fri Aug 03, 2007 1:10 pm Post subject: Re: Watching the Gulf

alorfi · Posted: Fri Aug 03, 2007 10:03 pm Post subject: Re: Watching the Gulf

This never had any chance with the dry air to the south. I never understood all the attention this received. I understand stalled fronts are a harbinger for "home grown" rotations, particularly in August, but you CANNOT have dry air to the south and expect development of any circulation. Just my opinion.