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Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather: Forums

Cape Coral Online Weather :: View topic - Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L.
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Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L.
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This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral Online Weather Forum Index -> 2007 Hurricane Season
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Nolesjeff
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Joined: Jun 14, 2006
Posts: 240
Location: Maiden NC

PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2007 12:03 pm    Post subject: Re: Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L. Reply with quote

ULL is moving out pretty quick, I read somewhere that ull's help vent tropical systems? Question
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SW46TER
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Joined: Jul 11, 2005
Posts: 1121

PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2007 2:05 pm    Post subject: Re: Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L. Reply with quote

Nolesjeff wrote:
ULL is moving out pretty quick, I read somewhere that ull's help vent tropical systems? Question
Yes........they can. It depends on the position of them in relation to the storm
_________________
No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 1885
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2007 2:54 pm    Post subject: Re: Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L. Reply with quote

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1827 UTC MON AUG 13 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL912007) 20070813 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070813 1800 070814 0600 070814 1800 070815 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 22.1N 86.9W 22.5N 89.2W 23.3N 91.4W 23.9N 93.7W
BAMD 22.1N 86.9W 23.1N 89.2W 24.2N 91.7W 25.3N 94.1W
BAMM 22.1N 86.9W 22.9N 89.2W 24.0N 91.7W 25.0N 94.2W
LBAR 22.1N 86.9W 22.7N 89.2W 23.5N 92.2W 24.4N 95.2W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 36KTS 43KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 36KTS 43KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070815 1800 070816 1800 070817 1800 070818 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 24.9N 96.1W 26.8N 100.1W 28.1N 103.9W 29.1N 106.7W
BAMD 26.6N 96.7W 29.5N 100.4W 31.7N 102.4W 34.0N 101.0W
BAMM 26.3N 96.9W 29.1N 100.4W 31.0N 102.8W 32.6N 102.9W
LBAR 25.7N 98.2W 28.8N 102.8W 31.6N 104.4W 32.7N 103.4W
SHIP 50KTS 60KTS 68KTS 66KTS
DSHP 50KTS 29KTS 27KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 22.1N LONCUR = 86.9W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR = 11KT
LATM12 = 21.2N LONM12 = 84.9W DIRM12 = 297DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 20.1N LONM24 = 83.0W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 130NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2007 3:01 pm    Post subject: Re: Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L. Reply with quote


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Lou
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Nolesjeff
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Location: Maiden NC

PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2007 3:16 pm    Post subject: Re: Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L. Reply with quote

sluggo could cool the sst's a little, which would be helpful if anything were to follow him. Not sure how much.
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2007 4:12 pm    Post subject: Re: Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L. Reply with quote

El Sluggo is near the loop current which won't be affected as it is constantly replenished from the Carib. Also it takes a good size storm to cause upwelling that would cause the SST's to drop and that would be only temporary. Smile
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Lou
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capeskywatcher
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Joined: Aug 01, 2007
Posts: 36
Location: SW Cape

PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2007 4:18 pm    Post subject: Re: Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L. Reply with quote

"El Sluggo" is now on floater 2
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texascanecaster1
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Joined: Jun 23, 2007
Posts: 125
Location: Se tx near houtson

PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2007 4:32 pm    Post subject: Re: Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L. Reply with quote

well looks liek i may get a ts. Oh well texas certainly dersves its fair share of cane and tses this year it should also wake everybody up a bit here get em ready for a psbl landfall in two weeks of depression four, provided it ends up in texas.
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Nolesjeff
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Location: Maiden NC

PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2007 4:45 pm    Post subject: Re: Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L. Reply with quote

TCC, how is the flooding situation in your area? I havent heard much about in a couple of weeks. Are rivers nears normal levels?
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ccstorms
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Posts: 1885
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2007 11:40 am    Post subject: Re: Sluggish wave entering Gulf still to develop. Now 91L. Reply with quote

Invest 91L is approaching Depression status.
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


000
ABNT20 KNHC 141517 CCA
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD BE FORMING. A
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO CHECK THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTAL AREAS...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AND BE READY TO TAKE ACTIONS. TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE PROMPTLY REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE COAST.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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