ERIN

Nolesjeff · Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2007 10:36 am Post subject: ERIN

We now have Erin
.

TROPICAL STORM ERIN TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007
1015 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007
DATA FROM A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FIVE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH AND IS NOW TROPICAL STORM ERIN. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL
BE ISSUED WITHIN THE HOUR.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA

Nolesjeff · Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2007 10:38 am Post subject: Re: ERIN

813
ABNT20 KNHC 151516
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED
TROPICAL STORM ERIN...LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF BROWNSVILLE
TEXAS...AND IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DEAN...LOCATED
ABOUT 1045 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ERIN ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT35 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT5. FORECAST/ADVISORIES
ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT5.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

Nolesjeff · Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2007 3:32 pm Post subject: Re: ERIN

It appears that it is a good thing that Erin is running out of real estate, She appears to be getting herself very organized.

Weatherman911 · Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2007 6:40 pm Post subject: Re: ERIN

Corpus Christi, Texas local news channel on-line. They have video and more on Erin.

http://keyetv.com/
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SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1202

Keep in mind with Erin that she is likely to strengthen right up until landfall. It is moving at a right angle to the coast (which is also curved). This promotes wind convergence and the center will naturally tighten (focus available energy) as it feels the land. The next several hours are crutial as if Erin can get her centers vertically stacked, this is a situation where she could quickly ramp up to near hurricane strength before landfall whereas if she stays unaligned, the storm won't gain much more intensity besides the tightening effect. The main flooding with the storm will be inland over the hill country as the moisture will get origraphically lifted and the actual center will wind up in there before dissipation. TCC may see a few squalls with TS force wind gusts but wind damage (if any) should be confined to the area 20-40 miles north of Corpus where the center should go in.
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Weatherman911 · Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2007 8:00 pm Post subject: Re: ERIN

Texas prepares for Erin......

STATE OF TEXAS, STATE OPERATIONS CENTER (SOC)
SUBJECT: Tropical Storm Erin
SITUATION REPORT # 3
DATE AND TIME COVERED: Tuesday August 14, 2007 11:30 p.m. through
Wednesday, August 15, 2007, 1:30 p.m.

Total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are possible along the middle Texas coast, with isolated
amounts of 8-10 inches.

(snip)
To prepare for anticipated flooding impacts, the State of Texas has taken deliberate preparedness actions in order to provide an immediate and effective response. Search and rescue resources are deploying to Central and South Texas. The Texas Military Forces (TXMF) will activate 3 Blackhawk helicopters, two in San Antonio and one in Austin. Each of these helicopters will have hoist capability to support high water rescue operations. TXMF will also deploy 40 High Profile Vehicles (HPV) to support rescue operations. 20 HPVs are staged in Weslaco, 10 HPVs are staged in Corpus Christi, and 10 HPVs are staged in San Antonio. TXMF
has 140 soldiers on state active duty. The Texas Extension Service (TEEX) has deployed elements of Texas Task Force 1. Texas Task Force 1 has 6 swift water rescue teams staged in San Antonio and 6 helicopter rescue personnel staged with the TXMF helicopters in Austin & San Antonio. These teams are prepared to deploy to impacted areas. TEEX is also providing one search & rescue liaison to the SOC and to the DDCs in Corpus Christi, San Antonio and McAllen. The SOC activated the State Radio Amateur Civil Emergency Service (RACES) network at 8:00 a.m., August 15, to monitor communications traffic along the south Texas Coastal areas. Radio checks were conducted with several local stations monitoring the network. The SOC will continue to monitor the Amateur Radio nets as needed during this event.
(/snip)

Here's the link:
http://www.txdps.state.tx.us/dem/sitrepindex.htm
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SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1202

Weatherman911 · Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2007 9:04 pm Post subject: Re: ERIN

A web cam from Corpus Christi, Texas

http://www.bobhallpier.net/webcam.shtml
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Weatherman911 Hurricanes Featuring Lous Weather Watch
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alorfi · Posted: Thu Aug 16, 2007 9:45 pm Post subject: Re: ERIN

Talk about dodging a bullet... Corpus Christi somehow managed a grand total of .09 inches of rainfall thus far from Erin. Meanwhile, the hill country north and west of San Antonio should see widespread 5 to 9 inch totals. San Antonio has received almost 45 inches of rainfall thus far in 2007. Their normal rainfall is less than 30 inches.

chris · Posted: Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:00 pm Post subject: Re: ERIN

Saw on TWC that their was mass flooding in Houston. That whole state is practically underwater. I'd really hate to see what happens if Dean were to roll through their. Shocked

Let's hope not.
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