WATCH 20N & 55W NOW INVEST 92L

ccstorms · Last edited by ccstorms on Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:07 am; edited 1 time in total

Lots of convection building in this area and it coincides with tropical development being shown by several models in differing degrees of intensity. Also being noted by the NHC.

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LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1202

Post Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2007 3:54 pm Post subject: Just so you don't feel left out Florida..............

The wave currently at 12N / 42W will be sitting and spinning just to your East next week at this time and that system and it's possible hesitation offshore could be causing a lot of meteorological misery to forecasters regarding it's ultimate outcome.

Same wave.......2 days later Wink

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No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once

ccstorms

chris

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Chris
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Wthrwatcher

Never a dull moment. Surprised

Could be that homegrown storm you said we might see this season in the making. Would that disturbed area (20N/55W) also tend to move westerly for the time being ? The water is obviously very warm between here and there. Tks. Jim

ccstorms

[quote="Wthrwatcher"]Never a dull moment. Surprised

Could be that homegrown storm you said we might see this season in the making. Would that disturbed area (20N/55W) also tend to move westerly for the time being ? The water is obviously very warm between here and there. Tks. Jim[/quote

High pressure to it's north will force it west. It wouldn't be considered 'home grown' unless it develops much further west. You can call it 'Jeff grown'. Better yet make it Jeff's Storm. That would make Issac smile. Very Happy

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LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

Wthrwatcher

So be it. Will be interesting to see how this plays out. Tks.

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1202

I think we make a good 1-2 punch Lou..........I speculate and you authenticate..... Laughing

Wasn't trying to steal your thunder, you have been merging some redundant posts lately. Embarassed

Now track the darn thing to where I want it to go and make me look good.... Wink

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No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1202

By the way, my view of this thing developing and lurking east of Florida in the Bahamas by next weekend remains. The only twist is that since the system is further North, there is a chance that a trough passing thru the mid-atlantic could pick the system up and bring it up the East Coast. Not likely a strong trough so more than likely the connection will miss, high pressure will build back to the North and the system will start a westward movement again. I know it seems like a lot of maybe, could, shoulds etc. but I'm new to this tropical thing (caused by my 2 yr. stay in the Cape).........and I don't have the luxury of bouncing my thoughts off Stacy Stewart....(yes Lou, I'm envious.. Laughing

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No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once

MeteorologistTV

CMC develops it, brings it right into South-Central Florida, and hangs it around over the state dumping lots of rain before moving into the Gulf.

Most of the models agree that whatever develops here, continues west into the state.