Invest 99L NOW GABRIELLE

bob · Posted: Sat Sep 08, 2007 11:18 am Post subject: Re: Invest 99L NOW GABRIELLE

Any more football discussion should go under new lounge topic.
Don't want to upset anyone here. See, I'm learning!

bob
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ccstorms · Posted: Sat Sep 08, 2007 11:21 am Post subject: Re: Invest 99L NOW GABRIELLE

The convection continues to be ripped off to the northwest and the LLC is now completely exposed. Not looking very healthy.

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Cape Coral.
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ccstorms · Posted: Sat Sep 08, 2007 11:45 am Post subject: Re: Invest 99L NOW GABRIELLE

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Storm GABRIELLE: Observed by AF #308
Storm #07 In Atlantic Ocean
Total Flights For Storm #07: 03
Date/Time of Recon Report: September 08, 2007 16:22:00 Zulu
Position Of The Center: 31 ° 30 ' N 074 ° 24 ' W (31.50° N 74.40° W )
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of Millibars: Meters (Normal: Meters)
Maximum Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 25 Knots (28.75 MPH)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured At: 037 Nautical Miles (42.55 miles) From Center At Bearing 240°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 027 Knots (31.05 MPH) From 327°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 038 Nautical Miles (43.7 Miles) From Center At Bearing 241°
Minimum Pressure: extrap 1010 Millibars (29.824 Inches)
Maxium Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Outside The Eye: 22°C (71.6°F) / 276 Meters
Maximum Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Inside The Eye: 24°C (75.2°F) / 277 Meters
Dewpoint Temperature / Sea Surface Temperature Inside The Eye: 22°C (71.6°F) / NA°C (NA°F)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: NA
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being: NA
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 1500 Feet
Navigational Accuracy Measured At: 0.02 Nautical Miles
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At: 1 Nautical Miles
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1202

Yeah.........it seems no matter how hard it tries Gabrielle cant escape the hostility. Be it dry air or upper low/ shear it is running out of time. Strong tropical storm is the best likelhood now. NHC's 55kts. seems good and as the cold front has already cleared me in Eastern NY in the past hour, it wont get further North than S. Delaware before it begins to recurve to a point well SE of Cape Cod. Still hopeful for moisure entrainment for the front tomorrow. Development in the Gulf looking more dicey today.........but still not off the table as shear should relax by later Tues....... System near 50W has chance for development in SE Gulf by fri-sat (next weekend).............Back to the pool.....not too many 82 degree days left up here (quite possibly the LAST ONE) Rolling Eyes

My work on Gabrielle is done(I fought the trof and the trof won).. ....Lou will take you through landfall and beyond.......
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No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once

ccstorms · Posted: Sat Sep 08, 2007 8:12 pm Post subject: Re: Invest 99L NOW GABRIELLE

No larger than a good size Florida thunderstorm.

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LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1202

chris · Posted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 1:08 am Post subject: Re: Invest 99L NOW GABRIELLE

It does look like it is starting to shift west unless my eyes are really screwed up. Actually it is appearing to have a wsw jog like you mentioned Jeff. Hmm, this could setup a different playing field if it holds along the coast.
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ccstorms · Posted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 7:04 am Post subject: Re: Invest 99L NOW GABRIELLE

Storm GABRIELLE: Observed by AF #309
Storm #07 In Atlantic Ocean
Total Flights For Storm #07: 04
Date/Time of Recon Report: September 09, 2007 11:07:00 Zulu
Position Of The Center: 34 ° 10 ' N 076 ° 21 ' W (34.17° N 76.35° W )
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 925 Millibars: 733 Meters (Normal: 762 Meters)
Maximum Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 55 Knots (63.25 MPH)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured At: 014 Nautical Miles (16.1 miles) From Center At Bearing 97°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 059 Knots (67.85 MPH) From 206°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 017 Nautical Miles (19.55 Miles) From Center At Bearing 101°
Minimum Pressure: extrap 1005 Millibars (29.676 Inches)
Maxium Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Outside The Eye: 20°C (68°F) / 786 Meters
Maximum Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Inside The Eye: 22°C (71.6°F) / 767 Meters
Dewpoint Temperature / Sea Surface Temperature Inside The Eye: 19°C (66.2°F) / NA°C (NA°F)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: NA
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being: NA
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Wind Pressure
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 925 Millibars
Navigational Accuracy Measured At: 0.02 Nautical Miles
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At: 3 Nautical Miles

Other Information:
1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 61 KT SE Quadrant at 10:34:40 Z
2: Maximum Flight Level Temp 23 C, 91 / 16NM
3: SLP EXTRAP FROM 925 MB
4: INTENSE CONVECTIVE BANDING SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

CONVECTIVEMIKE · Posted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 7:55 am Post subject: Re: Invest 99L NOW GABRIELLE

Someone has to convince Gabby that a visit to the NY/NJ is needed!!!!!! I was so psyched to possibly get visited as earlier models showed.