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Cape Coral - Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - TD 8/INGRID
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TD 8/INGRID
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This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral - Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2007 Hurricane Season
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ccstorms
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Posts: 6131
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 7:25 am    Post subject: TD 8/INGRID Reply with quote

The large tropical wave southwest of the Cape Verde islands located at 10N and 35W is becoming better organized and will likely be upgraded to Invest status.


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Last edited by ccstorms on Sat Sep 15, 2007 2:57 pm; edited 6 times in total
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 7:47 am    Post subject: Re: TD 8/INGRID Reply with quote

Now on Floater 2.


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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:57 am    Post subject: Re: TD 8/INGRID Reply with quote

This is now 91L. 20 kts, 1009 mb.
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:59 am    Post subject: Re: TD 8/INGRID Reply with quote


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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 9:01 am    Post subject: Re: TD 8/INGRID Reply with quote

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1327 UTC SUN SEP 9 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL912007) 20070909 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070909 1200 070910 0000 070910 1200 070911 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 10.0N 33.0W 10.4N 34.6W 10.7N 36.0W 11.1N 37.2W
BAMD 10.0N 33.0W 10.4N 35.1W 10.7N 37.2W 10.8N 39.1W
BAMM 10.0N 33.0W 10.4N 34.9W 10.6N 36.7W 10.9N 38.3W
LBAR 10.0N 33.0W 10.5N 35.4W 10.9N 38.3W 11.5N 41.1W
SHIP 20KTS 26KTS 33KTS 41KTS
DSHP 20KTS 26KTS 33KTS 41KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070911 1200 070912 1200 070913 1200 070914 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 11.7N 38.1W 13.6N 39.5W 16.3N 42.2W 19.1N 46.4W
BAMD 10.9N 40.9W 11.1N 44.0W 11.6N 46.5W 11.9N 48.5W
BAMM 11.1N 39.8W 12.1N 42.1W 13.5N 43.4W 14.7N 45.1W
LBAR 11.9N 43.9W 12.8N 49.2W 13.5N 52.9W 13.5N 55.0W
SHIP 51KTS 66KTS 72KTS 75KTS
DSHP 51KTS 66KTS 72KTS 75KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 10.0N LONCUR = 33.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 9.8N LONM12 = 30.5W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 = 12KT
LATM24 = 9.6N LONM24 = 28.0W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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Wthrwatcher
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 10:58 am    Post subject: Re: TD 8/INGRID Reply with quote

Well this could be an interesting week. Surprised Do long term model tracks suggest "fish" or a bend back westward in time ?? Tks. Jim
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 3:20 pm    Post subject: Re: TD 8/INGRID Reply with quote

I can see by the model plots above that this invest may NOT be a fish storm. scratch cuss Question answered. Tks. Jim
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 3:48 pm    Post subject: Re: TD 8/INGRID Reply with quote

Wthrwatcher wrote:
Well this could be an interesting week. Surprised Do long term model tracks suggest "fish" or a bend back westward in time ?? Tks. Jim


Sorry Jim. With three Invests going I didn't remember to answer you. The models were initialized at 11N and when the systems start out that low they usually are southern long trackers that won't recurve before the Windwards unless there is a substantial weakness in the Atlantic ridge. I don't see anything that would cause this to go fishing. It's westward Ho once again.
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Wthrwatcher
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 4:02 pm    Post subject: Re: TD 8/INGRID Reply with quote

No problemo Lou. I was just about to start a post..."Now showing on Floater ??" With everything lining up out there, we may run out of satellites Wink . Seriously, it looks like there may be more candidates lining up east of 91 and 92L. Worse than the Democratic primary for goodness sakes. Laughing Tks. in advance for all your efforts. You are gonna be very busy for awhile, so it seems. cool thumbs up
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 6:24 pm    Post subject: Re: TD 8/INGRID Reply with quote

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1849 UTC SUN SEP 9 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL912007) 20070909 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070909 1800 070910 0600 070910 1800 070911 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 9.7N 35.5W 9.8N 37.3W 9.9N 39.1W 10.0N 40.4W
BAMD 9.7N 35.5W 10.0N 37.7W 10.1N 40.1W 10.1N 42.4W
BAMM 9.7N 35.5W 9.9N 37.4W 10.1N 39.3W 10.1N 41.2W
LBAR 9.7N 35.5W 10.0N 38.3W 10.6N 41.6W 11.1N 44.9W
SHIP 20KTS 26KTS 32KTS 41KTS
DSHP 20KTS 26KTS 32KTS 41KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070911 1800 070912 1800 070913 1800 070914 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 10.2N 41.3W 11.4N 42.4W 13.7N 43.6W 16.5N 45.8W
BAMD 9.9N 44.4W 9.6N 48.6W 9.9N 52.1W 10.8N 55.3W
BAMM 10.2N 42.6W 10.6N 45.0W 11.3N 46.4W 11.8N 47.7W
LBAR 11.6N 48.1W 12.2N 53.7W 12.2N 57.4W 11.2N 59.1W
SHIP 48KTS 58KTS 63KTS 66KTS
DSHP 48KTS 58KTS 63KTS 66KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 9.7N LONCUR = 35.5W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 9.7N LONM12 = 32.5W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 15KT
LATM24 = 9.7N LONM24 = 28.0W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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