Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2007 7:18 pm Post subject: I'm Getting Dizzy..................
First below freezing night up here this weekend Why should you care in SW Fla ?................Big high setting up off NE coast next week, pressures lowering in Gulf............2 storms possible into Gulf in next 6-10 days. First (but in the Gulf second....if that makes sense)...disturbance in South Carib. to get drawn northward as true tropical system. Second is wave near Hispanola which will move into Gulf early next week will tangle with upper low which will inhibit tropical development initially but lowering pressures in the Gulf and an improving environment should make the system go at least sub-tropical. Oh, and don't write off Ingrid yet. The weaker the system is, the better chance it doesn't recurve and can eventually move west...........IF it happens...........a very slow process. Probably a threat after the other two systems have had their way _________________ No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 2882 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2007 10:42 pm Post subject: Re: I'm Getting Dizzy..................
Jeff, any chance you can send some of that cool air this way? I saw that the GFS model has a tropical system developing in the Carib. and will end up around our area in the next 6-10 days like you mentioned. Not sure how accurate the model is since it is extremely early but it's definitely worth monitoring. Is Ivan's brother going to pop back into the Gulf? I saw this on the models as well with a possibility of it heading back into Tx for round 2. _________________ Chris
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Joined: Dec 28, 2006 Posts: 346 Location: Cape Coral, FL
Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2007 11:09 pm Post subject: Re: I'm Getting Dizzy..................
Those Genesse Cream Ales are getting to you. Nothing in the Gulf is brewing. Anything threatening SW Florida will have to originate in the Caribbean. Sorry to disappoint, but the truth must be spoken sometimes.
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 6:51 am Post subject: Re: I'm Getting Dizzy..................
chris wrote:
Jeff, any chance you can send some of that cool air this way? I saw that the GFS model has a tropical system developing in the Carib. and will end up around our area in the next 6-10 days like you mentioned. Not sure how accurate the model is since it is extremely early but it's definitely worth monitoring. Is Ivan's brother going to pop back into the Gulf? I saw this on the models as well with a possibility of it heading back into Tx for round 2.
Ivan's brother is actually flairing up quite nicely off Brownsville this morning but it is very close to land already. I still like 2 systems in the next 9 days (not counting ingred who is so weak now she is a concern to come west if she can barely hold together the next 3-4 days). The pattern dictates as such. _________________ No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 6:53 am Post subject: Re: I'm Getting Dizzy..................
alorfi wrote:
Those Genesse Cream Ales are getting to you. Nothing in the Gulf is brewing. Anything threatening SW Florida will have to originate in the Caribbean. Sorry to disappoint, but the truth must be spoken sometimes.
If you know the absolute meteorological truth.........WHY ARE YOU IN THE LANDSCAPING BUSINESS ??? _________________ No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 7:47 am Post subject: Re: I'm Getting Dizzy..................
SW46TER wrote:
First below freezing night up here this weekend Why should you care in SW Fla ?................Big high setting up off NE coast next week, pressures lowering in Gulf............2 storms possible into Gulf in next 6-10 days. First (but in the Gulf second....if that makes sense)...disturbance in South Carib. to get drawn northward as true tropical system. Second is wave near Hispanola which will move into Gulf early next week will tangle with upper low which will inhibit tropical development initially but lowering pressures in the Gulf and an improving environment should make the system go at least sub-tropical. Oh, and don't write off Ingrid yet. The weaker the system is, the better chance it doesn't recurve and can eventually move west...........IF it happens...........a very slow process. Probably a threat after the other two systems have had their way
Agree Jeff. That's pretty much my thinking(two systems and don't write off Ingrid) as I wrote in the Jerry and Karen thread yesterday. It's going to get quite busy and trouble will be coming as we get into late September and into October . The remainder of the season will have Florida and the gulf in the cross hairs and to make matters worse, in October we will have the arrival of the wet phase of the MJO that will throw more fuel on the fire at exactly the wrong time. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
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Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 7:57 am Post subject: Re: I'm Getting Dizzy..................
ccstorms wrote:
SW46TER wrote:
First below freezing night up here this weekend Why should you care in SW Fla ?................Big high setting up off NE coast next week, pressures lowering in Gulf............2 storms possible into Gulf in next 6-10 days. First (but in the Gulf second....if that makes sense)...disturbance in South Carib. to get drawn northward as true tropical system. Second is wave near Hispanola which will move into Gulf early next week will tangle with upper low which will inhibit tropical development initially but lowering pressures in the Gulf and an improving environment should make the system go at least sub-tropical. Oh, and don't write off Ingrid yet. The weaker the system is, the better chance it doesn't recurve and can eventually move west...........IF it happens...........a very slow process. Probably a threat after the other two systems have had their way
Agree Jeff. That's pretty much my thinking(two systems and don't write off Ingrid) as I wrote in the Jerry and Karen thread yesterday. It's going to get quite busy and trouble will be coming as we get into late September and into October . The remainder of the season will have Florida and the gulf in the cross hairs and to make matters worse, in October we will have the arrival of the wet phase of the MJO that will throw more fuel on the fire at exactly the wrong time.
Now that is the TRUTH _________________ No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
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