Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2007 4:54 pm Post subject: Re: Sub-tropical Depression 11 now Tropical Storm Jerry.
Fish storm.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2045 UTC SAT SEP 22 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Posted: Sun Sep 23, 2007 8:12 am Post subject: Re: Sub-tropical Depression 11 now Tropical Storm Jerry.
000
WTNT31 KNHC 230848
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007
500 AM AST SUN SEP 23 2007
...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS FAR FROM LAND IN THE NORTH CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...
AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.1 WEST OR ABOUT
1060 MILES...1705 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES.
THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY STATIONARY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A
SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH LATER TODAY...WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING
OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC...WELL TO THE
WEST OF THE AZORES.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
THE DEPRESSION GAINS MORE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...AND IT COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...36.2 N...46.1 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
FORECASTER KNABB _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Sun Sep 23, 2007 11:00 am Post subject: Re: Sub-tropical Depression 11 now Tropical Storm Jerry.
WTNT31 KNHC 231427
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 23 2007
...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A SUBTROPICAL STORM...NO
THREAT TO LAND...
AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1070
MILES...1725 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES.
THE STORM IS NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED BY TONIGHT OR EARLY ON MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE STORM WILL
BE MOVING OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC...WELL
TO THE WEST OF THE AZORES.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND JERRY IS LIKELY TO ACQUIRE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
LATER TODAY.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE
CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...36.0 N...46.3 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1004 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
FORECASTER PASCH _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
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