Posted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 2:30 pm Post subject: Expecting Southeast Gulf TC by Oct 1./NOW INVEST 90L.
I'm starting a new thread on this topic to avoid confusion between the system I expect to develop and the current Invest 98L.
The models still have a good consenses regarding development around Monday Oct 1. The former 97L is still chugging west and will arrive near Florida this weekend and add it's energy to the trough that has already spawned two lows. The only difference I see today is that the area of possible development is spread out a little further, from the Central Bahamas, across the Florida Straits, to the Southeast Gulf. I'm still thinking southeast Gulf but can't rule out the Florida Straits....and so we wait. Bob, get out the Popcorn and Beer. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Last edited by ccstorms on Mon Oct 01, 2007 2:03 pm; edited 1 time in total
Joined: Jun 20, 2005 Posts: 771 Location: Cape Coral, Fl.
Posted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:14 pm Post subject: Re: Expecting Southeast Gulf TC by Oct 1.
ccstorms wrote:
I'm starting a new thread on this topic to avoid confusion between the system I expect to develop and the current Invest 98L.
The models still have a good consenses regarding development around Monday Oct 1. The former 97L is still chugging west and will arrive near Florida this weekend and add it's energy to the trough that has already spawned two lows. The only difference I see today is that the area of possible development is spread out a little further, from the Central Bahamas, across the Florida Straits, to the Southeast Gulf. I'm still thinking southeast Gulf but can't rule out the Florida Straits....and so we wait. Bob, get out the Popcorn and Beer.
Lou
I gained 10 pounds in the past two weeks eating popcorn and drinking beer watching all these slow movers! What's behind the snails pace of 97L, 98L, Karen,Lorenzo etc? They are all driving along as if they were from Ohio with their turn signals on!
Old 97 finally getting here. Hope it brings some rain. The models are showing some diffences as to if we stay dry or get wet -if the system will cross Florida or stay just to our east correct?
bob _________________ Sit back, relax and enjoy the show!
Posted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:26 pm Post subject: Re: Expecting Southeast Gulf TC by Oct 1.
[quote="bob"]
ccstorms wrote:
I'm starting a new thread on this topic to avoid confusion between the system I expect to develop and the current Invest 98L.
The models still have a good consenses regarding development around Monday Oct 1. The former 97L is still chugging west and will arrive near Florida this weekend and add it's energy to the trough that has already spawned two lows. The only difference I see today is that the area of possible development is spread out a little further, from the Central Bahamas, across the Florida Straits, to the Southeast Gulf. I'm still thinking southeast Gulf but can't rule out the Florida Straits....and so we wait. Bob, get out the Popcorn and Beer.
Lou
I gained 10 pounds in the past two weeks eating popcorn and drinking beer watching all these slow movers! What's behind the snails pace of 97L, 98L, Karen,Lorenzo etc? They are all driving along as if they were from Ohio with their turn signals on!
Old 97 finally getting here. Hope it brings some rain. The models are showing some diffences as to if we stay dry or get wet -if the system will cross Florida or stay just to our east correct?
Posted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:35 pm Post subject: Re: Expecting Southeast Gulf TC by Oct 1./NOW INVEST 90L.
bob wrote:
Since this developing scenerio is one part old 97, what will it be refered to as: old 97L or a new invest?
bob
still think more emoticos are needed
Never can tell what the NHC will decide. For instance....Last night they initiated the 00Z models at 65 Kts for Karen. That's a Hurricane. Did they upgrade to Hurricane? No. Fooled me. I even posted that Karen was a Hurricane. Sheesh! They went to 70 mph on the advisory instead of 75. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Joined: May 21, 2006 Posts: 187 Location: Southeast Florida
Posted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 8:12 pm Post subject: Re: Expecting Southeast Gulf TC by Oct 1./NOW INVEST 90L.
From Accuweather MET
Broad low pressure triggering widespread showers and thunderstorms stretched from Cuba and the Bahamas to the open western Atlantic Ocean Saturday. Sunday into early next week, this area will bear watching as there is at least a small chance of a tropical depression. Favoring this possibility will be the warmth of the sea surface, which measured in the lower and even middle 80s (F) as of Saturday. On the other hand, indications that unfavorable wind shear may persist and that the area may split were significant arguments against the area consolidating into a tropical depression.
Story by AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist Jim Andrews
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What's behind the snails pace of 97L, 98L, Karen,Lorenzo etc? They are all driving along as if they were from Ohio with their turn signals on!
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