Posted: Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:10 pm Post subject: Thurs. night Tropical Discussion
Emily has become a major hurricane, soon to be a Cat 4 and has clearly shown a trend to want to gain latitude. While this has cleared places like Honduras from disaster, the threat of a direct initial landfall in SE Texas is increasing. If Emily is able to pass between the Yucatan and Cuba without a landfall, the Brownsville/ Corpus Christi area may suffer a fate worse than Dennis, while if she crosses the Yucatan, a weaker landfall in the Tampico area is favored. Latest model runs are spread on this possibility, but enough to have Texas on edge. If there is any good news out of this, it is that with 2 cat 4 storms traversing the Carribean and Gulf waters and Cindy which IMO also was a hurricane prior to landfall cutting up the center of the Gulf, most of the latent heat energy has been removed due to the upwelling of the waters. It may take until mid to late August before we see another storm really blow up in the Gulf or Carribean.
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Jeff
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