Posted: Thu Oct 25, 2007 8:16 am Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm NOEL now a Hurricane.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1306 UTC THU OCT 25 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Posted: Thu Oct 25, 2007 8:39 pm Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm NOEL now a Hurricane.
Pressure down to 1005 MB. Very close to depression status.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0022 UTC FRI OCT 26 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Posted: Fri Oct 26, 2007 7:49 am Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm NOEL now a Hurricane.
Down to 1004 MB.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1236 UTC FRI OCT 26 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Posted: Sat Oct 27, 2007 9:09 am Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm NOEL now a Hurricane.
When 90L reaches the NW Caribbean and joins up with the current disturbed area that's already located in that area we should see development and a possible threat to south Florida next week. Models vary in intensity from a weak TD to a Hurricane but most all the models do forecast development. Stay tuned....we may get our rain but not in the way we would like to get it. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Sat Oct 27, 2007 9:44 am Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm NOEL now a Hurricane.
do we have a day next week that this said disturbance will hity or play with Florida. I know long range isn't accurate but where do the experts see this slamming into if it does ?
Posted: Sat Oct 27, 2007 10:04 am Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm NOEL now a Hurricane.
CONVECTIVEMIKE wrote:
do we have a day next week that this said disturbance will hity or play with Florida. I know long range isn't accurate but where do the experts see this slamming into if it does ?
No chance of predicting track, intensity, or actual development that far ahead with any degree of accuracy. If you were to take the average spread from what the models show it would be late in the week from southeast gulf to the Bahamas. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Sat Oct 27, 2007 10:26 am Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm NOEL now a Hurricane.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA IS ON THE VERGE OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE LOW HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
SOUTHWEST AND IS NOW CENTERED HALFWAY BETWEEN HISPANIOLA AND ARUBA.
THIS SYSTEM IS ACCOMPANIED BY NUMEROUS SQUALLS WHICH ARE AFFECTING
MUCH OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT ISLANDS...PRIMARILY
PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AND THEN WEST...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM WITHIN THE DAY OR SO...AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. AN AIR FORCE PLANE WILL INVESTIGATE THE
AREA ON SUNDAY IF NECESSARY. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
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