Northwest Carib could be next Invest.

ccstorms

Really cranking up down there with good rotation.

_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

alorfi

Well, I'm convinced at this point that we are going to see our beneficial rains finally hit us here in the Cape this afternoon. These overrunning scenarios usually result in widespread coverage, so our chances of missing out on this one are almost nil. I am quite confident that most areas in Charlotte, Lee and Collier County will see upwards of an inch or more by this time tomorrow. Fingers crossed, of course.

Wthrwatcher

Looks like the shear around this area is minimal and the water is still quite warm. Certainly better conditions than what 90L is fighting. Very interesting Question

ccstorms

A 1008 MB Low has been applied to the area south of Cuba in the northwest Carib.
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

bob

Low spinning in place west of Jamaica

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

Some models show it moving to just off the Yucatan Pen in about 72hrs.
Can we expect this low to eventually move NW or run up along the stationary/warm front and head more in our direction?

bob
_________________
Sit back, relax and enjoy the show!

ccstorms

It should sit down there for a few days and things will get interesting when 90L arrives at that location in about 48 hours. NHC has scheduled recon for 90L on Sunday.

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1015 AM EDT FRI 26 OCTOBER 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z OCTOBER 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-154

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL
INVEST NEAR 16.5N 75.0W AT 28/1800Z.
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms

From NWS Melbourne.

snip-"MON-FRI...PROLONGED PERIOD OF ONSHORE FLOW FORECAST IN THE EXTENDED
PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TWD THE MID ATLC AND SFC LOW IS FCST
TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE WRN CARRIBEAN AND DRIFT NWD NEAR THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL LATE IN THE WEEK. TIGHTEST GRADIENT FCST MON NGT THROUGH TUE
NGT WITH ROUGH/HIGH SURF DEVELOPING AND BREEZY TO WINDY NE-E WINDS.
EXPECT SCATTERED ATLC SHOWERS TO STREAM ONSHORE WITH MARINE
CLOUDINESS RETURNING BY MON/TUE. WILL HAVE TO WATCH EVOLUTION OF
POTENTIAL CARRIBEAN SYS FOR THE DAY 7 TIME FRAME WITH 12Z GFS
FORECASTING ANOTHER MID LVL TROUGH WHICH SHOULD PULL AT LEAST SOME
TROPICAL MOISTURE TWD THE STATE. STILL LOTS OF TIME FOR THE MODELS
TO GET A BETTER HANDLE ON THIS NEXT POTENTIAL SYSTEM."

.MARINE...INCREASING SE FLOW WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD SEAS. WILL
CONTINUE SCEC OVER OFFSHORE WATERS...WITH CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN JUST BELOW CRITERIA OVERNIGHT NEARSHORE. ONSHORE FLOW WILL
STRENGTHEN FURTHER BY SUNDAY...WITH ADVISORY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING
QUICKLY MON AFTN INTO MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT WINDS AND SEAS TO
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT ON TUE INTO WED WITH
WAVEWATCH MODEL FORECASTING SEAS TO BUILD TO OVER 15 FT OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS. WILL BRING SEAS UP OVER 12 FEET TUESDAY WITH GUSTS
TO GALE FORCE POSSIBLE AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS TO OVER 10 MB FROM
KJAX-KMIA TUE AFTN."
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/