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Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather: Forums

Cape Coral Online Weather :: View topic - New Invest 95 near azores
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New Invest 95 near azores

 
This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral Online Weather Forum Index -> 2007 Hurricane Season
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capeskywatcher
Advanced Member
Advanced Member


Joined: Aug 01, 2007
Posts: 40
Location: SW Cape

PostPosted: Sat Dec 29, 2007 3:36 pm    Post subject: New Invest 95 near azores Reply with quote

SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
315 PM AST SAT DEC 29 2007

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES HAS BEEN GRADUALLY ACQUIRING SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE PAST DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF ITS CIRCULATION CENTER...AND IT COULD BECOME A SUBTROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.

FURTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AS NECESSARY.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/SISKO
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ccstorms
Senior Member
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 2115
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Dec 29, 2007 6:21 pm    Post subject: Re: New Invest 95 near azores Reply with quote

Could be named soon. Models have been run with initialization of 35 kts.

Dec 29 17:04:24 EST 2007

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1951 UTC SAT DEC 29 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952007) 20071229 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
071229 1800 071230 0600 071230 1800 071231 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 27.8N 37.7W 27.9N 38.0W 27.0N 39.2W 25.5N 41.2W
BAMD 27.8N 37.7W 28.5N 36.3W 29.0N 35.7W 29.1N 36.2W
BAMM 27.8N 37.7W 27.9N 37.6W 27.2N 38.3W 26.3N 39.7W
LBAR 27.8N 37.7W 28.8N 36.2W 29.3N 34.4W 29.5N 32.9W
SHIP 35KTS 38KTS 40KTS 39KTS
DSHP 35KTS 38KTS 40KTS 39KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
071231 1800 080101 1800 080102 1800 080103 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 23.8N 43.5W 21.8N 49.3W 22.3N 55.2W 25.9N 54.5W
BAMD 28.3N 38.0W 26.3N 43.4W 23.4N 49.7W 22.3N 53.0W
BAMM 25.0N 42.1W 22.3N 49.2W 20.0N 55.9W 20.7N 58.8W
LBAR 29.1N 31.6W 27.1N 29.9W 23.6N 26.9W 21.9N 22.5W
SHIP 38KTS 22KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 38KTS 22KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 27.8N LONCUR = 37.7W DIRCUR = 20DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 26.6N LONM12 = 38.2W DIRM12 = 20DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 25.0N LONM24 = 38.8W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 100NM WNDM12 = 35KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 125NM RD34SE = 125NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW =
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 2115
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Dec 29, 2007 6:22 pm    Post subject: Re: New Invest 95 near azores Reply with quote


_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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ccstorms
Senior Member
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 2115
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Dec 29, 2007 6:25 pm    Post subject: Re: New Invest 95 near azores Reply with quote


_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 2115
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Dec 30, 2007 2:02 pm    Post subject: Re: New Invest 95 near azores Reply with quote

Atlantic SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
Today, December 30, 2007.

SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM AST SUN DEC 30 2007.

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS SYSTEM IS NOW INTERACTING WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM TO ITS NORTH...AND SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED THAN YESTERDAY. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE-FORCE WINDS... MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER...AND IT STILL COULD BECOME A SUBTROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW AS IT MOVES SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FURTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AS NECESSARY.

FORECASTER MAINELLI
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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