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Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather: Forums

Cape Coral Online Weather :: View topic - Bertha
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Bertha
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Post new topic   Reply to topic    Cape Coral Online Weather Forum Index -> 2008 Hurricane Season Discussion
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Thu Jul 10, 2008 2:23 pm    Post subject: Re: Bertha Reply with quote

Recon tomorrow for Bertha.

NOUS42 KNHC 101400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT THU 10 JULY 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z JULY 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-040

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE BERTHA.....AL022008
A. 11/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0102A BERTHA
C. 11/1215Z
D. 28.9N 61.9W
E. 11/1730Z TO 11/2000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: FIX HURRICANE BERTHA
NEAR 30.4N 62.0W AT 12/1800Z.
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 11, 2008 2:55 pm    Post subject: Re: Bertha Reply with quote

Recon's first Vortex Data Message for Bertha.

URNT12 KNHC 111813
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL022008
A. 11/17:08:40Z
B. 28 deg 41 min N
061 deg 59 min W
C. 700 mb 2876 m
D. 72 kt
E. 304 deg 033 nm
F. 050 deg 080 kt
G. 304 deg 035 nm
H. 977 mb
I. 7 C/ 3043 m
J. 12 C/ 3041 m
K. 5 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C55
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF309 0102A BERTHA OB 11
MAX FL WIND 80 KT NW QUAD 16:58:30 Z
REMNANTS OF INNER EYEWALL VISIBLE ON RADAR 30% COVERAGE
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 99 KT SE QUAD 17:17:00 Z
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 11, 2008 3:02 pm    Post subject: Re: Bertha Reply with quote

DECODED RECON REPORT.

Storm BERTHA: Observed by AF #309
Storm #02 In Atlantic Ocean
Total Flights For Storm #02: 01
Date/Time of Recon Report: July 11, 2008 17:08:40 Zulu
Position Of The Center: 28 ° 41 ' N 061 ° 59 ' W (28.68° N 61.98° W )
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700 Millibars: 2876 Meters (Normal: 3011 Meters)
Maximum Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 72 Knots (82.8 MPH)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured At: 033 Nautical Miles (37.95 miles) From Center At Bearing 304°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 080 Knots (92 MPH) From 050°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 035 Nautical Miles (40.25 Miles) From Center At Bearing 304°
Minimum Pressure: 977 Millibars (28.850 Inches)
Maxium Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Outside The Eye: 7°C (44.6°F) / 3043 Meters
Maximum Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Inside The Eye: 12°C (53.6°F) / 3041 Meters
Dewpoint Temperature / Sea Surface Temperature Inside The Eye: 5°C (41°F) / NA°C (NA°F)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: CLOSED
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being: C55
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700 Millibars
Navigational Accuracy Measured At: 0.02 Nautical Miles
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At: 1 Nautical Miles

Other Information:
1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 80 KT NW Quadrant at 16:58:30 Z
2: REMNANTS OF INNER EYEWALL VISIBLE ON RADAR 30% COVERAGE
3: Maximum OUTBOUND Flight Level WIND 99 KT SE QUAD 17:17:00 Z
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 12, 2008 3:40 pm    Post subject: Re: Bertha Reply with quote

Today's recon flight Vortex Data Message.

Storm BERTHA: Observed by AF #309
Storm #02 In Atlantic Ocean
Total Flights For Storm #02: 02
Date/Time of Recon Report: July 12, 2008 18:43:00 Zulu
Position Of The Center: 29 ° 49 ' N 062 ° 29 ' W (29.82° N 62.48° W )
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700 Millibars: 2930 Meters (Normal: 3011 Meters)
Maximum Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 55 Knots (63.25 MPH)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured At: 47 Nautical Miles (54.05 miles) From Center At Bearing 045°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 072 Knots (82.8 MPH) From 132°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 045 Nautical Miles (51.75 Miles) From Center At Bearing 045°
Minimum Pressure: 984 Millibars (29.056 Inches)
Maxium Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Outside The Eye: 9°C (48.2°F) / 3048 Meters
Maximum Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Inside The Eye: 12°C (53.6°F) / 3051 Meters
Dewpoint Temperature / Sea Surface Temperature Inside The Eye: 12°C (53.6°F) / NA°C (NA°F)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: BROKEN WALL
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being: C50
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700 Millibars
Navigational Accuracy Measured At: 0.02 Nautical Miles
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At: 1 Nautical Miles

Other Information:
1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 72 KT NE Quadrant at 18:30:10 Z
2: WEAK AND RAGGED PRIMARY OUTER EYEWALL. 25 PRECENT PARTIAL REMNANT OF
3: INNER EYEWALL STRUCTURE RAMAINS.
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 12, 2008 3:50 pm    Post subject: Re: Bertha Reply with quote

These satellite views up-date. Bertha near Bermuda.

Day time viewing, Visible satellite view



Day or night time viewing, Rainbow satellite view


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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 4:23 pm    Post subject: Re: Bertha Reply with quote

Recon flight three. Vortex Data Message. Bertha is quite sick.

Storm BERTHA: Observed by AF #307
Storm #02 In Atlantic Ocean
Total Flights For Storm #02: 03
Date/Time of Recon Report: July 13, 2008 18:12:40 Zulu
Position Of The Center: 30 ° 05 ' N 062 ° 51 ' W (30.08° N 62.85° W )
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700 Millibars: 2983 Meters (Normal: 3011 Meters)
Maximum Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 50 Knots (57.5 MPH)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured At: 35 Nautical Miles (40.25 miles) From Center At Bearing 063°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 072 Knots (82.8 MPH) From 146°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 043 Nautical Miles (49.45 Miles) From Center At Bearing 061°
Minimum Pressure: 990 Millibars (29.233 Inches)
Maxium Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Outside The Eye: 10°C (50°F) / 3049 Meters
Maximum Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Inside The Eye: 12°C (53.6°F) / 3048 Meters
Dewpoint Temperature / Sea Surface Temperature Inside The Eye: 7°C (44.6°F) / NA°C (NA°F)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: NA
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being: NA
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700 Millibars
Navigational Accuracy Measured At: 0.02 Nautical Miles
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At: 1 Nautical Miles

Other Information:
1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 72 KT NE Quadrant at 17:59:40 Z
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 7:30 pm    Post subject: Re: Bertha Reply with quote



People stroll along Horseshoe Bay beach, on the south shore of Bermuda, Sunday, July 13, 2008. Signs have been placed warning of dangerous rip tides caused by Tropical Storm Bertha. Bertha weakened Sunday into a tropical storm as it hovered near Bermuda, and forecasters say it may deal a glancing blow to the Atlantic island in the coming days. (AP Photo/David Skinner)
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 14, 2008 1:47 pm    Post subject: Re: Bertha Reply with quote

RECON FLIGHT #4.... 07/14/08

Storm BERTHA: Observed by AF #307
Storm #02 In Atlantic Ocean
Total Flights For Storm #02: 04
Date/Time of Recon Report: July 14, 2008 16:36:40 Zulu
Position Of The Center: 32 ° 20 ' N 064 ° 06 ' W (32.33° N 64.10° W )
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700 Millibars: 3038 Meters (Normal: 3011 Meters)
Maximum Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 47 Knots (54.05 MPH)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured At: 062 Nautical Miles (71.3 miles) From Center At Bearing 329°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 049 Knots (56.35 MPH) From 069°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 057 Nautical Miles (65.55 Miles) From Center At Bearing 330°
Minimum Pressure: 996 Millibars (29.411 Inches)
Maxium Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Outside The Eye: 8°C (46.4°F) / 3049 Meters
Maximum Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Inside The Eye: 10°C (50°F) / 3048 Meters
Dewpoint Temperature / Sea Surface Temperature Inside The Eye: 8°C (46.4°F) / NA°C (NA°F)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: NA
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being: NA
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700 Millibars
Navigational Accuracy Measured At: 0.02 Nautical Miles
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At: 1 Nautical Miles

Other Information:
1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 71 KT SE Quadrant at 16:53:20 Z
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
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PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 5:08 pm    Post subject: Re: Bertha Reply with quote

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2022 UTC THU JUL 17 2008

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL CYCLONE BERTHA (AL022008) 20080717 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
080717 1800 080718 0600 080718 1800 080719 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 33.9N 57.8W 34.1N 56.7W 34.8N 55.5W 35.3N 54.1W
BAMD 33.9N 57.8W 33.9N 55.7W 35.5N 53.5W 37.2N 51.3W
BAMM 33.9N 57.8W 33.9N 56.7W 34.7N 55.4W 35.2N 54.1W
LBAR 33.9N 57.8W 33.9N 56.0W 34.9N 54.8W 36.4N 53.1W
SHIP 50KTS 52KTS 53KTS 52KTS
DSHP 50KTS 52KTS 53KTS 52KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
080719 1800 080720 1800 080721 1800 080722 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 35.6N 52.5W 35.5N 48.8W 35.5N 48.2W 36.1N 50.1W
BAMD 38.5N 49.7W 43.0N 42.2W 51.0N 28.8W 59.7N 19.9W
BAMM 35.3N 53.1W 35.2N 51.8W 35.7N 52.7W 37.1N 54.9W
LBAR 38.0N 51.5W 42.4N 46.1W 52.3N 32.5W .0N .0W
SHIP 51KTS 46KTS 50KTS 38KTS
DSHP 51KTS 46KTS 50KTS 38KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 33.9N LONCUR = 57.8W DIRCUR = 110DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 34.8N LONM12 = 59.6W DIRM12 = 140DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 36.3N LONM24 = 60.7W
WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 50KT
CENPRS = 997MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 270NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 120NM RD34SW = 120NM RD34NW = 90NM
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 6:18 pm    Post subject: Re: Bertha Reply with quote

Say farewell to Bertha. It's heading out to the Hurricane graveyard to meet the guy below. We he shows up..... it's OVER.










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