Posted: Tue Jul 15, 2008 9:20 pm Post subject: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
Have to watch for possible tropical development off the coastal area near Sarasota.
plus for development.
1-mid-level circulation off the coast.
2-building convection.
3-850 mb Vorticity is good.
4-Low level convergence is good.
5-upper level divergence is good.
6-water temps are ideal.
negative for development
1-needs to develop a low level circulation
2-needs time.
3-needs to pull a little further offshore. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Tue Jul 15, 2008 10:01 pm Post subject: Re: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
Agreed.........This should be a TD by tomorrow afternoon/evening and even a minimal TS on Thurs. Will not have chance to get out of hand though before it moves inland over Panhandle _________________ No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
Posted: Tue Jul 15, 2008 10:13 pm Post subject: Re: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
SW46TER wrote:
Agreed.........This should be a TD by tomorrow afternoon/evening and even a minimal TS on Thurs. Will not have chance to get out of hand though before it moves inland over Panhandle
Now don't lie Jeff......You HAVE to miss this weather! _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 5:37 am Post subject: Re: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
Yeah Lou.....I do. But it doesn't suck to sit by the pool when it's 80 with a dewpoint of 52 in July _________________ No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 7:54 am Post subject: Re: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
While all three negative factors for development are still present this morning, it still needs to be watched just in case a center forms further west and south.
_________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 8:37 am Post subject: Re: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
Bands of very heavy rain are approaching from the west and southwest. Rainfall rates will be very high and flooding is certain due to the already saturated soil.
_________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
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