Joined: Dec 28, 2006 Posts: 346 Location: Cape Coral, FL
Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 10:21 am Post subject: Re: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
Now THESE are synoptic features that can produce some minor "training" of rainfall bands, especially as the low begins the process of pulling to the north.
It is interesting how precipitation has a way of evening out. We couldn't buy a drop down here throughout most of the spring while areas just to our north were well above normal. I have one station off Toledo Blade Road near 41 that topped the 30-inch total (since Jan 1) back in June and has received only 2 inches since then whereas one of my gauges at Pirate Harbor (on Burnt Store Rd.) was bone dry for months and has seen over 17 inches over the past month. In any case, I think it's very safe to say this drought is finally over for most areas.
...THE URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN COLLIER COUNTY...
AT 1239 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING OVER MARCO
ISLAND WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS. RADAR HAS ESTIMATED THAT 3 OR MORE
INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER MARCO ISLAND IN THE PAST HOUR.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED.
THE MARCO ISLAND POLICE DEPARTMENT REPORTED THAT SEVERAL STREETS ARE
FLOODED ACROSS MARCO ISLAND...INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO...YELLOW
BIRD ROAD...BLUE BIRD ROAD...AND COLLIER DRIVE.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED SHORTLY...DEPENDING ON
THE EXACT MOVEMENT OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT HALF HOUR.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 12:52 pm Post subject: Re: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1235 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
* UNTIL 230 PM EDT
* AT 1229 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
NUMEROUS HEAVY SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
OVER THE LOCAL WATERS. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING STRONG WINDS OF 34 KNOTS OR GREATER...WAS LOCATED 3 NM
WEST OF MARCO ISLAND....MOVING EAST AT 8 KNOTS. ADDITIONAL HEAVY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE WATERS WILL PRODUCE
STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 34 KNOTS.
AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OVER THE WATER...BOATERS CAN EXPECT STRONG
GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN. MOVE
TO SAFE HARBOR OR STAY CLOSE TO SHORE UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. IF
CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER...MAKE SURE ALL SAFETY GEAR IS AVAILABLE AND
LIFE JACKETS ARE BEING WORN BY YOU AND YOUR CREW.
WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN
BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. YOUR BEST COURSE OF EVASIVE
ACTION IF THREATENED BY A WATERSPOUT IS TO MOVE AT A 90 DEGREE ANGLE
FROM ITS APPARENT MOVEMENT. SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 6:33 pm Post subject: Re: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
Wow.....this looks like a great rain producer down there.....over 10 inches in spots. This puppy is having a hard time figuring out where to develop a center. The FL Peninsula is definitely playing havoc with it. While yesterday I ASSumed the center would pop off the west coast, today I wouldn't be surprised if it popped off either coast .....or even developed over land (yes a weak tropical system can get going over a flat, lower frictional surface like Florida if there is good enough inflow/ feeder bands into the center of circulation. Anyway, this is one of those systems that give the forecasters fits but at the same time is a drought denting godsend as there will be no tidal surge or wind damage to contend with even if there is development in the next 48 hrs. This is destined to help some of the poor drought stricken folks up in GA after it mosey's on out of FL. _________________ No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
Joined: Dec 28, 2006 Posts: 346 Location: Cape Coral, FL
Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 8:35 pm Post subject: Re: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
In actuality, this little system ended up not being the prodigious rain producter that sometimes occur from these types of systems. The center of the very weak low remained over land all day and that sapped all potential of growth. Many areas in Lee and Collier Counties saw 3 to 5 inches of rainfall over the past few days, but the overall coverage across the rest of SW Florida was barely above climatological norms for this time of year. Of the twelve gauges I have operating in the area, only two recorded amounts of greater than two inches from this system. Amazingly, one of the stations (at Sable Trace in North Port) somehow escaped most of the showers and reported .17 inches over the past 48 hours.
Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 1540 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 10:03 pm Post subject: Re: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
I don't think it is either. Tomorrow might bring in another wave of showers which would be nice. I also think we are finally out of the drought period which will keep code enforcement off our butts. _________________ Chris
Site Administrator
Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather
Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 1540 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 10:09 pm Post subject: Re: POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
Another interesting note is our station only recorded 23 inches of rain last year and we are about to surpass that. The last few days have really helped get our rain totals up. _________________ Chris
Site Administrator
Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather
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