Posted: Sun Aug 03, 2008 8:01 pm Post subject: Re: EDOUARD
000
WTNT35 KNHC 032348
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052008
700 PM CDT SUN AUG 03 2008
...EDOUARD MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...HURRICANE WATCHES OR WARNINGS
MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOUISIANA COAST
FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WESTWARD TO INTRACOASTAL
CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES...145 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND
ABOUT 415 MILES...670 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
EDOUARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 4 MPH...6 KM/HR...AND
A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE PARALLEL TO THE LOUISIANA COAST TONIGHT
AND MONDAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA OR
THE UPPER TEXAS COAST ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BE NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE
LANDFALL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES ALONG THE THE LOUISIANA COAST WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES. ONCE THE SYSTEM MOVES TO THE UPPER TEXAS
COAST...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.
REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...28.1 N...88.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 1540 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Mon Aug 04, 2008 7:15 am Post subject: Re: EDOUARD
000
WTNT35 KNHC 040837
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052008
400 AM CDT MON AUG 04 2008
...EDOUARD CONTINUES WESTWARD WHILE BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED...
AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
WESTWARD TO SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WESTWARD TO SAN LUIS
PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA TO PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST OR ABOUT 185
MILES...300 KM...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 295
MILES...475 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
EDOUARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A TURN TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON TUESDAY. BY TUESDAY MORNING THE
CENTER OF EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
OR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND EDOUARD COULD BE NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE
REACHING THE COASTLINE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED
IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.
EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES ALONG PORTIONS OF THE LOUISIANA COASTAL COUNTIES INTO
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST LATER TODAY.
REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...28.1 N...90.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
AM CDT.
Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 1540 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Mon Aug 04, 2008 10:47 am Post subject: Re: EDOUARD
Expires:No;;123625
ABNT20 KNHC 041110
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 4 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM EDOUARD...LOCATED ABOUT 295 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON
TEXAS. _________________ Chris
Site Administrator
Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather
Posted: Mon Aug 04, 2008 6:30 pm Post subject: Re: EDOUARD
Last vortex message has an ominous last sentence.
000
URNT12 KNHC 042114
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL052008
A. 04/20:44:30Z
B. 28 deg 12 min N
091 deg 30 min W
C. NA mb 1427 m
D. 34 kt
E. 228 deg 015 nm
F. 307 deg 039 kt
G. 228 deg 033 nm
H. 999 mb
I. 16 C/ 1560 m
J. 20 C/ 1505 m
K. 16 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF308 0305A EDOUARD1 OB 13
MAX FL WIND 47 KT NW QUAD 19:08:30 Z
RADAR INDICATES CIRCULAR BANDING CONSISTENT WITH FIX ON EAST SIDE, 25 PERCENT COMPLETE. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Mon Aug 04, 2008 6:57 pm Post subject: Re: EDOUARD
Edouard is under construction. Here's another Vortex message just in from recon. I decoded this one. Note the last sentence.
Storm EDOUARD1: Observed by AF #308
Storm #05 In Atlantic Ocean
Total Flights For Storm #05: 03
Date/Time of Recon Report: August 04, 2008 22:18:30 Zulu
Position Of The Center: 28 ° 19 ' N 091 ° 28 ' W (28.32° N 91.47° W )
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of N/A Millibars: 1423 Meters (Normal: N/A Meters)
Maximum Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 32 Knots (36.8 MPH)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured At: 067 Nautical Miles (77.05 miles) From Center At Bearing 307°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 037 Knots (42.55 MPH) From 046°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 054 Nautical Miles (62.1 Miles) From Center At Bearing 304°
Minimum Pressure: 999 Millibars (29.499 Inches)
Maxium Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Outside The Eye: 16°C (60.8°F) / 1566 Meters
Maximum Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Inside The Eye: 20°C (68°F) / 1491 Meters
Dewpoint Temperature / Sea Surface Temperature Inside The Eye: 16°C (60.8°F) / NA°C (NA°F)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: NA
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being: NA
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 850 Millibars
Navigational Accuracy Measured At: 0.03 Nautical Miles
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At: 2 Nautical Miles
Other Information:
1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 49 KT N Quadrant at 21:18:40 Z
2: RADAR BANDING CONSISTENT WITH Flight Level CENTER FIX POSITION. BAND CONVECTION HAS REDUCED, BUT ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:29 pm Post subject: Re: EDOUARD
Recon just reported 61 kt flight level winds. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
This will bring the surface winds to 50 mph. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
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