TD 17 now PALOMA

Weatherman911 · Posted: Fri Nov 07, 2008 6:22 pm Post subject: Re: TD 17 now PALOMA

This image updates.

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Todd
Weatherman911 Hurricanes Featuring Lous Weather Watch
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ccstorms · Posted: Fri Nov 07, 2008 6:40 pm Post subject: Re: TD 17 now PALOMA

Recon report supports a Cat 3. Also reporting Lightning in the eyewall which occurs during rapid intensity cycles.

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 7th day of the month at 23:25Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 303)
Storm Number & Year: 17L in 2008
Storm Name: Paloma (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 5
Observation Number: 21
A. Time of Center Fix: 7th day of the month at 23:06:10Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 18°47'N 81°10'W (18.7833N 81.1667W) (View map)
B. Center Fix Location: 39 miles (62 km) to the SSE (158°) from George Town, Cayman Islands (GBR).
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,791m (9,157ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 101kts (~ 116.2mph)E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 9 nautical miles (10 statute miles) to the SW (235°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 331° at 87kts (From the NNW at ~ 100.1mph)G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the SW (232°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 964mb (28.47 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,040m (9,974ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,045m (9,990ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 9°C (48°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open in the west-northwest
M. Eye Shape: Elliptical (oval shaped)
M. Orientation of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 140° to 320° (SE to NW)
M. Length of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 24 nautical miles (28 statute miles)
M. Length of Minor Axis in Elliptical Eye: 18 nautical miles (21 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 107kts (~ 123.1mph) in the northwest quadrant at 21:30:00Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 99kts (~ 113.9mph) in the north quadrant at 23:09:10
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING IN EYEWALL
OUTBOUND SWS 101KTS 23:03:30 Z
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LOU
Cape Coral.
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ccstorms · Posted: Fri Nov 07, 2008 6:48 pm Post subject: Re: TD 17 now PALOMA

NHC says CAT 3.

000
WTNT32 KNHC 072341
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE PALOMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
700 PM EST FRI NOV 07 2008

...DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE PALOMA CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN AS IT
SLOWLY APPROACHES GRAND CAYMAN...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY AND LAS TUNAS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 700 PM EST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PALOMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...
50 KM...SOUTH OF THE EASTERN END OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 275
MILES...440 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT AND
THAT GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF PALOMA WILL PASS NEAR GRAND CAYMAN
TONIGHT...BE NEAR CAYMAN BRAC SATURDAY MORNING...AND BE APPROACHING
THE COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA LATE SATURDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115
MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PALOMA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. AFTERWARD...GRADUAL WEAKENING
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY LATE SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120
MILES...195 KM. DURING THE PAST HOUR...SEVERAL REPORTS OF SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 MPH...97 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/HR...HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM AMATEUR/HAM RADIO OPERATORS ON
GRAND CAYMAN.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AS ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED
NEAR THE CENTER OF PALOMA IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 8 TO 12 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE
THE CENTER OF PALOMA MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA.

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOOD AND
MUDSLIDES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN.

REPEATING THE 700 PM EST POSITION...18.9 N...81.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 1000 PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

Weatherman911 · Posted: Fri Nov 07, 2008 8:04 pm Post subject: Re: TD 17 now PALOMA

_________________
Todd
Weatherman911 Hurricanes Featuring Lous Weather Watch
http://weatherman911.tripod.com

ccstorms · Posted: Fri Nov 07, 2008 8:31 pm Post subject: Re: TD 17 now PALOMA

This is not a good time for the models to become confused.

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

Weatherman911 · Posted: Fri Nov 07, 2008 9:31 pm Post subject: Re: TD 17 now PALOMA

_________________
Todd
Weatherman911 Hurricanes Featuring Lous Weather Watch
http://weatherman911.tripod.com

Weatherman911 · Posted: Fri Nov 07, 2008 10:35 pm Post subject: Re: TD 17 now PALOMA

_________________
Todd
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ccstorms · Posted: Sat Nov 08, 2008 5:45 am Post subject: Re: TD 17 now PALOMA

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE PALOMA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
508 AM EST SAT NOV 08 2008
SHORTLY BEFORE 500 AM EST...DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATED THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN HURRICANE
PALOMA HAVE INCREASED TO 135 MPH...215 KM/HR. PALOMA IS NOW AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Sat Nov 08, 2008 8:38 am Post subject: Re: TD 17 now PALOMA

NHC update:
"REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 140 MPH...225
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PALOMA IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...WITH WEAKENING
EXPECTED LATER TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY"
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Sat Nov 08, 2008 6:41 pm Post subject: Re: TD 17 now PALOMA

HURRICANE PALOMA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
620 PM EST SAT NOV 08 2008

AT APPROXIMATELY 620 PM EST...2320 UTC...HIGH-RESOLUTION GOES
SATELLITE DATA AND A RECENT POSITION FIX FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT...PLUS SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND
RADAR DATA FROM CUBA...INDICATE THAT MAJOR HURRICANE PALOMA LIKELY
MADE LANDFALL NEAR SANTA CRUZ DEL SUR CUBA AS A STRONG CATEGORY 3
HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 MPH...200 KM/HR.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html