Here's today close-up Big Picture. From left to right....Ex Gaston by the Antilles, still huffing and puffing. CV-7 sprawled across the African coast. East of CV-7 is what will be CV-8 when it goes feet wet about Sept 10 or 11.
Ok, here's a strange one. Over the last few days the models starting with the ECMWF began showing a tropical cyclone in the western caribbean in about 6 days. It just pops up out of the blue with no apparent point of origin. First thing I thought was Gaston but the timing was wrong. Gaston was already south of Puerto Rico. Next I looked for a possible crossover from the Pacific, crossing over Panama and into the sw carib. Nope, nothing there. So I began checking for a possible tropical wave that I might have missed but all the waves are accounted for and none have made it across the Atlantic without developing, or in the case of CV-6, getting absorbed by a monsoonal trough. Now the NAM and NOGAPS are also showing a TC forming with the point of origin near the southern Antilles but still no wave. A few hours ago I noticed a convective system over northeastern south america that is moving EAST! Yep East. It's currently moving offshore into the Atlantic to the east of the Antilles and into the ITCZ. Now I notice that convection is increasing over the area and it's where the models are now pointing to as the point of origin. Below is a satellite image of the area. If this does develop it could mean the models have reached a new level of intelligence. I'm not sure if that's a good thing or a scary thing. It sort of reminds me of a sci-fi movie from many years ago called The Forbin Project. But that's another story.
NHC: "DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS." _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
WHAT????????The loop shows it moving east.........The NHC says it's going to go west??????
Which way are we going
I'M confused
AND.......Oh Ya......I wouldn't count our old boy Gaston out YET either
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Igor (CV-7) looks like he is going to be a true MONSTER 
That satellite pic is IMPRESIVE!! 
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