An April surprise?-Now Invest 91L-Deactivated

ccstorms · Last edited by ccstorms on Sat Apr 21, 2012 3:24 am; edited 2 times in total

Tropical development in April is so rare that you have to go back to the 1800s to find anything resembling a tropical or sub-tropical system in the Atlantic basin. So could it happen? Well, all 4 global models think so. The GFS, EURO, CMC, and NOGAPS are all forecasting tropical or more likely sub-tropical development in the general vicinity of Bermuda next week. Here's a look at all 4 models at the 144 hour mark.

GFS

EURO

CMC

NOGAPS

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms

The Globals are still showing possible development next week and the NAM is now showing it. Here is today's 12Z Euro at 120 hours.

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms

The LOW that the models have been predicting since last week has developed and is now Invest 91L.
35.1N, 57.3W, Winds 40 Kts, Pressure 1004 MB. Currently classified as extra-tropical. If it can maintain itself for awhile and build enough convection near the center the NHC will upgrade it to a sub-tropical storm.

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

CONVECTIVEMIKE

just saw this in my e mail. wait for it.......wait for it .......

ccstorms

00Z Plot.
33.9N, 58.5W, Winds 35 kts, Pressure 1004 MB, Classification changed from Extra-tropical to LOW.
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html