BERYL

ccstorms · Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 8:03 am Post subject: Re: BERYL

If Beryl had more time over water it would become a fully tropical cyclone. It has currently developed a dense convective band around more than 50% of the center and moderate convection around another 25%. However it's running out of time.

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 8:55 am Post subject: Re: BERYL

The convective ring is almost completed and the core temp has risen by 2C. Also recon is reporting flight level winds of 65 kts.
000
URNT12 KNHC 271344
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL022012
A. 27/13:27:10Z
B. 30 deg 08 min N
079 deg 18 min W
C. 850 mb 1410 m
D. 50 kt
E. 054 deg 40 nm
F. 120 deg 65 kt
G. 054 deg 47 nm
H. 999 mb
I. 15 C / 1418 m
J. 17 C / 1524 m
K. 13 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1234 / 8
O. 0.02 / 5 nm
P. AF308 0202A BERYL OB 07
MAX FL WIND 65 KT NE QUAD 13:12:30Z
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 8:57 am Post subject: Re: BERYL

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
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ccstorms · Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 11:30 am Post subject: Re: BERYL

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
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ccstorms · Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 1:01 pm Post subject: Re: BERYL

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
200 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...BERYL STRONGER...NOW A TROPICAL STORM...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.1N 79.9W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA..INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST. BERYL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A WESTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL...BERYL
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN
NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT BERYL HAS STRENGTHENED AND NOW
HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL.
AFTER LANDFALL...BERYL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION ON
MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...
150 KM FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41012 LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES...
80 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 43 MPH...69 KM/H WITH A GUST TO 52 MPH...83
KM/H. A COASTAL MARINE AUTOMATED OBSERVING SITE AT ST. AUGUSTINE
RECENTLY MEASURED A WIND GUST TO 41 MPH...67 KM/H.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BE REACHING THE COAST OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA
TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA...AND NORTH FLORIDA...
1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

CONVECTIVEMIKE · Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 4:34 pm Post subject: Re: BERYL

She sure is trying to make a hard push at Hurricane status with what short time over water she has.

CONVECTIVEMIKE · Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 4:34 pm Post subject: Re: BERYL

She sure is trying to make a hard push at Hurricane status with what short time over water she has.

ccstorms · Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 4:43 pm Post subject: Re: BERYL

ccstorms · Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 5:02 pm Post subject: Re: BERYL

Big rise in the core temperature.

000
URNT12 KNHC 272151
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL022012
A. 27/21:16:00Z
B. 30 deg 03 min N
080 deg 18 min W
C. 850 mb 1358 m
D. 62 kt
E. 295 deg 24 nm
F. 016 deg 73 kt
G. 294 deg 27 nm
H. 993 mb
I. 12 C / 1526 m
J. 19 C / 1527 m
K. 13 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 08
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF308 0302A BERYL OB 06
MAX FL WIND 73 KT NW QUAD 21:07:30Z
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 6:47 pm Post subject: Re: BERYL

000
URNT12 KNHC 272321
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL022012
A. 27/22:59:20Z
B. 30 deg 13 min N
080 deg 25 min W
C. 850 mb 1358 m
D. 58 kt
E. 048 deg 40 nm
F. 127 deg 75 kt
G. 048 deg 41 nm
H. 992 mb
I. 13 C / 1520 m
J. 20 C / 1522 m
K. 11 C / NA
L. OPEN NW-E
M. C50
N. 12345 / 08
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF308 0302A BERYL
MAX FL WIND 75 KT NE QUAD 22:46:30Z
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html