Chris

ccstorms · Posted: Mon Jun 18, 2012 4:48 am Post subject: Chris

34.9N, 62.6W, Winds 30 Kts, Pressure 1005 MB.
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Mon Jun 18, 2012 4:51 am Post subject: Re: Chris

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0607 UTC MON JUN 18 2012

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952012) 20120618 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
120618 0600 120618 1800 120619 0600 120619 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 34.9N 62.6W 37.2N 61.6W 38.7N 60.6W 39.2N 59.6W
BAMD 34.9N 62.6W 38.5N 61.1W 40.5N 59.8W 40.6N 59.5W
BAMM 34.9N 62.6W 37.7N 61.5W 39.3N 60.4W 39.6N 59.8W
LBAR 34.9N 62.6W 37.8N 59.9W 40.0N 56.1W 40.6N 51.2W
SHIP 30KTS 37KTS 43KTS 47KTS
DSHP 30KTS 37KTS 43KTS 47KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
120620 0600 120621 0600 120622 0600 120623 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 38.7N 58.7W 36.5N 53.8W 37.3N 44.0W 42.7N 41.1W
BAMD 39.2N 59.9W 33.9N 59.0W 29.3N 48.2W 35.3N 35.4W
BAMM 38.7N 59.5W 34.8N 56.0W 34.9N 42.3W 42.7N 34.5W
LBAR 39.7N 44.3W 40.1N 33.5W 40.0N 33.0W 41.6N 33.6W
SHIP 45KTS 38KTS 46KTS 38KTS
DSHP 45KTS 38KTS 46KTS 38KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 34.9N LONCUR = 62.6W DIRCUR = 25DEG SPDCUR = 17KT
LATM12 = 31.7N LONM12 = 64.0W DIRM12 = 27DEG SPDM12 = 17KT
LATM24 = 29.2N LONM24 = 67.1W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 125NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Mon Jun 18, 2012 4:53 am Post subject: Re: Chris

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED NON-TROPICAL SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED
ABOUT 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER AS IT
INTERACTS WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THIS DEVELOPING GALE-AREA
COULD GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER.
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Mon Jun 18, 2012 9:36 am Post subject: Re: Chris

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300
MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM COULD GRADUALLY
ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER.
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Mon Jun 18, 2012 12:53 pm Post subject: Re: Chris

WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL NON-TROPICAL LOW
PRESSURE CENTER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. THIS SYSTEM IS
PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS AND IS LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. THE LOW HAS GRADUALLY BEEN ACQUIRING
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND IF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY PERSISTS
IT COULD BECOME A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY OR
TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Mon Jun 18, 2012 4:06 pm Post subject: Re: Chris

NHC 18Z Plot.
38.0N, 61.3W, Winds 40 Kts, Pressure 1005 MB.
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Mon Jun 18, 2012 6:41 pm Post subject: Re: Chris

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW
LOCATED ABOUT 480 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA HAVE CHANGED
LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO GENERATE GALE-FORCE WINDS...AND ANY INCREASE IN THE
ORGANIZATION OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE CENTER
WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL STORM.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER.
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 4:39 am Post subject: Re: Chris

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE JUN 19 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW
LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA HAVE DECREASED THIS
EVENING. THE CHANCES FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM ARE DECREASING
AS THE LOW IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER COOLER WATERS AND A MORE STABLE
ATMOSPHERE WITHIN A DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

chris · Posted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 3:59 pm Post subject: Re: Chris

Looks like Chris will be making a return. No threat at all but the 3rd named storm is on the board. Very Happy

_________________
Chris
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CONVECTIVEMIKE · Posted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 4:12 pm Post subject: Re: Chris

I can bring the ribs to the party. Congrats to our webmaster .