Posted: Tue Jul 24, 2012 1:10 pm Post subject: Re: 2012 Models, Maps, Waves, Etc.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE JUL 24 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
1. A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 625 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AS IT
GRADUALLY LOSES FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH AND IS LIKELY PRODUCING WINDS
AT OR NEAR GALE FORCE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT REACHES COOLER
WATERS ON WEDNESDAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
Posted: Tue Jul 24, 2012 2:01 pm Post subject: Re: 2012 Models, Maps, Waves, Etc.
The NHC 72 hour surface map has 4 tropical waves and they have added a LOW to the wave near the Cape Verde Islands. Both the Euro and GFS want to spin up the LOW and take it west to near the Windward Islands. The NOGAPS and CMC are also sniffing at it. The GFS also likes the system over Africa that will move off the coast in 48 hours.
Posted: Tue Jul 24, 2012 8:18 pm Post subject: info please
My family and I will be heading south in 2 weeks for a week vac. I am wondering if anyone sees anything around that time for the Navarre Beach area. Thanks
Joined: Jun 20, 2005 Posts: 782 Location: Cape Coral, Fl.
Posted: Tue Jul 24, 2012 10:52 pm Post subject: Re: info please
Acole143 wrote:
My family and I will be heading south in 2 weeks for a week vac. I am wondering if anyone sees anything around that time for the Navarre Beach area. Thanks
Most likely not. Tropics should be more active in a couple of weeks but the odds of anything developing and hitting a specific location are slim at best.
Case in point our Hurricane Charley in 2004. Charley had been forecast to head for the Tampa area just 4 hrs or so before it made an unexpected turn to the east and hit Punta Gorda/ Port Charlotte. Each storm has it's own personality. Been here in Cape Coral for 30 yrs and each storm is different. So come on down and enjoy all Florida has to offer! And if something pokes it's nose over the horizon, pay attention to local broadcasts and warnings and do as you are told.
Bob _________________ Sit back, relax and enjoy the show!
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