ISAAC- Final advisory issued

ccstorms · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 4:29 am Post subject: ISAAC- Final advisory issued

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0654 UTC FRI AUG 17 2012

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL942012) 20120817 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
120817 0600 120817 1800 120818 0600 120818 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 11.3N 17.9W 11.8N 20.0W 12.5N 21.9W 13.0N 23.7W
BAMD 11.3N 17.9W 11.8N 20.4W 12.1N 22.7W 12.4N 25.0W
BAMM 11.3N 17.9W 11.7N 20.8W 12.1N 23.4W 12.3N 25.9W
LBAR 11.3N 17.9W 11.9N 20.9W 12.5N 24.1W 13.1N 27.5W
SHIP 20KTS 25KTS 34KTS 44KTS
DSHP 20KTS 25KTS 34KTS 44KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
120819 0600 120820 0600 120821 0600 120822 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 13.6N 25.7W 15.0N 31.0W 16.3N 37.3W 17.2N 43.2W
BAMD 12.6N 27.0W 13.7N 31.1W 16.1N 36.0W 19.3N 40.7W
BAMM 12.4N 28.1W 12.7N 32.3W 14.3N 37.2W 16.4N 42.1W
LBAR 13.6N 30.9W 14.2N 38.0W 13.4N 44.7W 8.1N 44.1W
SHIP 53KTS 72KTS 89KTS 99KTS
DSHP 53KTS 72KTS 89KTS 99KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.3N LONCUR = 17.9W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 10.9N LONM12 = 15.5W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 = 17KT
LATM24 = 10.6N LONM24 = 12.0W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 4:32 am Post subject: Re: ISAAC- Final advisory issued

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 4:54 am Post subject: Re: ISAAC- Final advisory issued

The Euro at 144 hours has 94L approaching the Windward Islands with another system following.

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:37 pm Post subject: Re: ISAAC- Final advisory issued

12Z Euro at 240 hours.

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

Wthrwatcher · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 4:25 pm Post subject: Re: ISAAC- Final advisory issued

Yikes..This Euro model trend is a bit concerning. Will be awaiting your updates. popcorn

ccstorms · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 5:39 pm Post subject: Re: ISAAC- Final advisory issued

18Z GFS at 120 hours.

144 hours. The GFS has a second TC following in it's wake.

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 5:42 pm Post subject: Re: ISAAC- Final advisory issued

168 hours.

192 hours. Haiti.

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 5:45 pm Post subject: Re: ISAAC- Final advisory issued

240 hours.

276 hours.

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 5:51 pm Post subject: Re: ISAAC- Final advisory issued

312 hours.

336 hours. Just imagine the media frenzy if this track verified.

_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

ccstorms · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 6:29 pm Post subject: Re: ISAAC- Final advisory issued

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1844 UTC FRI AUG 17 2012

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL942012) 20120817 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
120817 1800 120818 0600 120818 1800 120819 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 11.2N 23.7W 11.4N 26.1W 11.7N 28.2W 12.0N 30.6W
BAMD 11.2N 23.7W 11.5N 26.2W 11.9N 28.6W 12.3N 30.7W
BAMM 11.2N 23.7W 11.4N 26.6W 11.8N 29.3W 12.2N 31.7W
LBAR 11.2N 23.7W 11.4N 27.0W 11.8N 30.7W 12.3N 34.2W
SHIP 20KTS 25KTS 33KTS 44KTS
DSHP 20KTS 25KTS 33KTS 44KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
120819 1800 120820 1800 120821 1800 120822 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 12.3N 33.3W 12.4N 39.3W 12.2N 44.3W 13.1N 47.1W
BAMD 12.8N 33.0W 13.9N 38.4W 14.3N 44.4W 14.1N 49.5W
BAMM 12.5N 34.2W 12.6N 39.9W 12.4N 45.4W 12.5N 49.0W
LBAR 12.8N 37.9W 13.0N 45.2W 11.7N 45.6W 13.1N 48.6W
SHIP 56KTS 75KTS 91KTS 107KTS
DSHP 56KTS 75KTS 91KTS 107KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.2N LONCUR = 23.7W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 17KT
LATM12 = 11.2N LONM12 = 20.2W DIRM12 = 272DEG SPDM12 = 23KT
LATM24 = 10.9N LONM24 = 15.5W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
_________________
LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html