Posted: Wed Aug 29, 2012 7:14 am Post subject: Re: Leslie-Final advisory issued.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
ISAAC...LOCATED ON THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND ON
TROPICAL STORM KIRK...LOCATED ABOUT 1435 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
AZORES.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED A LITTLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG A TROPICAL WAVE
LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 15 MPH. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Wed Aug 29, 2012 7:26 am Post subject: Re: Leslie-Final advisory issued.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0825 UTC WED AUG 29 2012
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Posted: Wed Aug 29, 2012 10:23 am Post subject: Re: Leslie-Final advisory issued.
The first image is the latest models track forecast for Invest 98L. The second image is the first models track forecast for Invest 94L which became Isaac. The point.....don't put much stock into early model track forecasts.
Posted: Wed Aug 29, 2012 12:43 pm Post subject: Re: Leslie-Final advisory issued.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
ISAAC...LOCATED INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND ON TROPICAL
STORM KIRK...LOCATED ABOUT 1485 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 900
MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. WHILE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
IMMINENT...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Wed Aug 29, 2012 6:36 pm Post subject: Re: Leslie-Final advisory issued.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ISAAC...LOCATED INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND ON
TROPICAL STORM KIRK...LOCATED ABOUT 1490 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
THE AZORES.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ARE
SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Thu Aug 30, 2012 3:40 am Post subject: Re: Leslie-Final advisory issued.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU AUG 30 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ISAAC...LOCATED INLAND NEAR BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA...AND ON
TROPICAL STORM KIRK...LOCATED ABOUT 1495 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
THE AZORES.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD BE
FORMING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 1000 MILES WEST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIES COULD
BE INITIATED LATER TODAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
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