FLORENCE RECON REPORTS

ccstorms · Posted: Sat Sep 09, 2006 12:31 pm Post subject: FLORENCE RECON REPORTS

11:49 am...Recon is now in the air heading for Florence from St. Croix. I'll post the info as it comes in.

12:30 pm...plane approaching southwest quadrant.
12:44 pm...33 kts SW quad.
12:57 pm...38 kts SW quad.
1:00 pm...approaching CDO from SW.
1:06 pm...57 kts.
1:09 pm..inside CDO.
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms · Posted: Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:33 pm Post subject: Re: FLORENCE RECON REPORTS

First Vortex data message. max winds found on approach from southwest side was 57 kts. Winds should be higher in north and northwest quad.

URNT12 KNHC 091722
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/17:14:10Z
B. 25 deg 01 min N
063 deg 53 min W
C. 850 mb 1366 m
D. 45 kt ....................= 50 mph surface winds per visual.
E. 246 deg 056 nm
F. 358 deg 057 kt
G. 245 deg 043 nm
H. 991 mb ..=pressure drop.
I. 16 C/ 1520 m ...=5 degrees warmer inside core.
J. 21 C/ 1528 m
K. 17 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 5 nm
P. AF301 0106A FLORENCE OB 05
MAX FL WIND 57 KT W QUAD 17:00:10 Z
MAX FL TEMP 22 C, 208 / 8NM
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms · Posted: Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:38 pm Post subject: Re: FLORENCE RECON REPORTS

1:37 pm ...58 kts.
1:57 pm...plane is in NE quad and I see nothing that would cause an upgrade to Hurricane status at this time. Need to find flight level winds of at least 70 kts.
2:30 pm...59 kts ne quad.
2:41 pm...61 kts north quad.
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

Stratosailor · Junior Member Joined: Oct 19, 2005 Posts: 23

It is not a hurricane yet, but as far as I can see from the satellite loops, it looks like it is wobbeling in the last hours with a tendency to more Westerly movement than North-West as indicated in the NOAA report. If this direction continues, I only hope that the forecasts to recurving the path are right, if not....

ccstorms · Posted: Sat Sep 09, 2006 4:00 pm Post subject: Re: FLORENCE RECON REPORTS

Second vortex data message.

URNT12 KNHC 091936
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/19:25:30Z
B. 25 deg 21 min N
064 deg 02 min W
C. 850 mb 1383 m
D. 45 kt
E. 306 deg 069 nm
F. 016 deg 050 kt
G. 306 deg 073 nm
H. 993 mb
I. 16 C/ 1525 m
J. 20 C/ 1521 m
K. 18 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 5 nm
P. AF301 0106A FLORENCE OB 14
MAX FL WIND 61 KT N QUAD 18:24:30 Z
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms · Posted: Sat Sep 09, 2006 4:36 pm Post subject: Re: FLORENCE RECON REPORTS

Recon is returning to St. Croix. Not yet a Hurricane. Very Happy

_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

mikeymike · Posted: Sat Sep 09, 2006 6:42 pm Post subject: Re: FLORENCE RECON REPORTS

Seems like there's been ‘‘something’’ this year that has inhibited all the storms from fully developing.That's a good thing though!

ccstorms · Posted: Sat Sep 09, 2006 7:20 pm Post subject: Re: FLORENCE RECON REPORTS

Yes Mike, it's been a hostile environment for any wannabe tropical systems. It seems the biggest inhibitor has been the large amount of upper level lows that have developed this year. We can use a quiet season. Very Happy

BTW, it appears Florence noticed recon leaving and has decided to ramp up while the plane is gone. Very Happy

_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms · Posted: Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:55 am Post subject: Re: FLORENCE RECON REPORTS

URNT12 KNHC 100800
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 10/07:29:10Z
B. 27 deg 33 min N
065 deg 30 min W
C. 700 mb 2935 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 034 deg 055 kt
G. 304 deg 069 nm
H. 978 mb
I. 9 C/ 3062 m
J. 17 C/ 3051 m
K. 7 C/ NA
L. OPEN NE, SW
M. E03/50/40
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 5 nm
P. AF301 0306A FLORENCE OB 13
MAX FL WIND 84 KT NE QUAD 05:36:20 Z
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms · Posted: Sun Sep 10, 2006 11:20 am Post subject: Re: FLORENCE RECON REPORTS

Recon is in the air. Departed St. Croix at 11:00 am. I will add to this post as the info comes in. Please post any responses in the Florence thread so I can use a single post for the updates. Thanks! Very Happy

1:40 pm.....96 kts northeast quad.
1:44 pm....
URNT12 KNHC 101738
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 10/17:12:30Z
B. 29 deg 05 min N
066 deg 05 min W
C. 700 mb 2905 m
D. 40 kt
E. 164 deg 082 nm
F. 241 deg 063 kt
G. 160 deg 053 nm
H. 976 mb
I. 8 C/ 3045 m
J. 14 C/ 3049 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. OPEN S
M. E27/30/20
N. 1234 / 7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF303 0406A FLORENCE OB 05
MAX FL WIND 63 KT SE QUAD 16:57:50 Z
MAX FL TEMP 18 C, 154 / 18NM

1:50 pm...winds bumped up to 90 mph.

3:15pm

URNT12 KNHC 101910
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 10/18:52:40Z
B. 29 deg 30 min N
066 deg 12 min W
C. 700 mb 2892 m
D. 50 kt
E. 307 deg 095 nm
F. 044 deg 072 kt
G. 300 deg 028 nm
H. 975 mb
I. 8 C/ 3045 m
J. 17 C/ 3047 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 4 nm
P. AF303 0406A FLORENCE OB 14
MAX FL WIND 96 KT NE QUAD 1724:00 Z
SFC CTR NOT VISIBLE BKN CLDS BLO
RADAR PRESENTATION POOR

5:00 pm- final vortex message

URNT12 KNHC 102052
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 10/20:36:20Z
B. 29 deg 51 min N
066 deg 14 min W
C. 700 mb 2883 m
D. 50 kt
E. 44 deg 071 nm
F. 127 deg 074 kt
G. 040 deg 041 nm
H. 975 mb
I. 10 C/ 3049 m
J. 14 C/ 3048 m
K. 12 C/ NA
L. OPEN SE
M. E30/35/25
N. 1234 / 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF303 0406A FLORENCE OB 21
MAX FL WIND 76 KT SE QUAD 19:04:50 Z
MAX FL TEMP 15 C, 31 / 9NM
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/