Posted: Sat Oct 14, 2006 12:41 pm Post subject: Re: SOUTHWEST GULF FIRING UP-NOW INVEST 92L
There is now a 1007 mb low center just east of the Mexican coast right where the heaviest convection is firing. This is just south of the stalled frontal boundary and is in an area of much less shear as opposed to the northern Gulf where the upper level winds from the west are ripping along at 40+ knots. The NHC said they don't expect development due to strong upper level winds but this low center is south of the strong shear. This will need to be watched closely and should the low deepen I would expect strong gusty winds to impact the Texas coast and the oil rigs due to a combination of the low and the resulting pressure gradient. That's regardless of tropical development. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Sat Oct 14, 2006 2:48 pm Post subject: Re: SOUTHWEST GULF FIRING UP-NOW INVEST 92L
The shear is high to it's north. The fact that it's able to produce intense convection with cloud tops of -80C shows that it's in an area of low shear. Based on the current steering flow it would head north to near Corpus Christi. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Sat Oct 14, 2006 9:19 pm Post subject: Re: SOUTHWEST GULF FIRING UP-NOW INVEST 92L
Lake Charles, AFD is talking about heavy wind and rains...not committing to a tropical situation.
If I was on an oil rig, I'd be concerned. Good call, Lou.
Posted: Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:33 am Post subject: Re: SOUTHWEST GULF FIRING UP-NOW INVEST 92L
Buoy 42002- 240 miles SSW of Sabine, Texas.
Wind Direction (WDIR): S ( 170 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 25.3 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 35.0 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 7.2 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 7 sec
Average Period (APD): 5.4 sec
Mean Wave Direction (MWDIR): ESE ( 110 deg true )
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.74 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): +0.00 in ( Steady )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 80.1 °F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 83.8 °F
Dew Point (DEWP): 79.9 °F
Heat Index (HEAT): 87.3 °F
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