Thursday Tropical Thoughts.........

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1180

The amount of dry air persisting in the Central/Eastern Atlantic has reaffirmed my idea that this will not be a very active Cape Verde season. While I still feel the period mid August- mid October will be a consistent parade of storms, most of them will be home grown with not too long to track before landfalls. If this season has a surprise, I am confident it will be lesser activity developing than expected rather than more. Currently, we have a formidable typhoon set to impact SW Japan. The Canadian model is forecasting a tropical system a 7-10 days down the road to threaten the area around the NE Gulf to off the North Florida East coast. This is actually a virtual perfect teleconnection to the Japanese Typhoon. However, the season is still a bit early here and I don't believe any wave developing could survive the shear pattern at this time. Nonetheless, at the very least a deep layer ESE wind flow should setup over the peninsula, leading to above average coverage of showers/ T-storms next week............................

QUEENSBURY, NY 7:00 PM

Temp: 75 F
Wind: WNW-7 mph
Humidity: 36%
Dewpoint: 48 F

chris

Jeff,
Here is a good up to date image of the SAL.

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Chris
Site Administrator
Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather