JAMAICA

bob · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2007 9:19 am Post subject: JAMAICA

Basic facts:

Jamaica is 50 miles wide and 146 miles long.

On the eastern end of the island are the Blue Mountains famous for coffee bean plantations and the highest point on the island at 7,402'.
Narrow coast line around the island gives way to rolling plateau and some flat land areas in the interior.

Dean's hurricane force winds currently extend out 60 miles from it's center.
So the entire island could potenially be under hurricane force winds.
The islands effect on the storm? If it passes directly over for the full 146 miles and slows down a little, Dean may weaken ever so slightly. Then it's back to the races heading for the cayman island, western cuba, etc
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MeteorologistTV · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2007 11:57 am Post subject: Re: JAMAICA

Jamaica would be left in ruins if a Category 5 Storm hits them.I can see it now.Thousands of Homes destroyed,Massive flooding, you name it.

chris · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2007 11:58 am Post subject: Re: JAMAICA

Nolesjeff · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2007 12:05 pm Post subject: Re: JAMAICA

bob · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2007 12:45 pm Post subject: Re: JAMAICA

That was Gilbert.

In June I was in Jamaica for my daughters wedding. We flew into Montego Bay and drove along the north coast to Ochos Rios. Very poor country. Many people live in nothing more than corrugated metal boxes that look like cargo ship containers. Roofs are just pieces of metal lying on top of these boxes. Even the more well built homes are in a constant building process. Interest rates are 20% on home loans so people take out a small loan, build a room,pay off the loan get another loan, build a room etc. So these houses are fully exposed to the storm as well.Friendliest people I have ever encountered. They will need some prayers. bob
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bob · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2007 1:22 pm Post subject: Re: JAMAICA

Jamaica forecast as of 2pm:

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
JAMAICA...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES.

Impossible to imagine the destruction that could take place. What the 10-20" of doesn't wash away ,the 150+ mph winds will surely blow away. Sad

bob · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2007 5:40 pm Post subject: Re: JAMAICA

On the scene in Jamaica:

This weather report is provided by the Jamaican Caves Organization as an aid to cavers, climbers, researchers, bird-watchers, naturalists, hikers, and any others who require guidance on weather conditions for the interior/elevated districts of Jamaica.

Overview:

(Aug 18, 2007) - Hurricane Dean is currently a Category 4 hurricane and is expected to pass over Jamaica on Sunday. If the track doesn't shift away from the island, things could get very nasty. Residents of JA are advised to take all precautions, expecially those in coastal and low-lying areas. Storm surges and local flooding are likely. Total rainfall will be 15 - 25 cm. Winds could be in excess of 250 km/h in high exposed areas. If Dean stays on course, it will possibly be more damaging than Ivan.

As of 4:00 PM local Jamaican time, the storm is well-organised and at severe levels. Some weakening may happen overnight. However, the centre of the storm will have a number of hours on Sunday morning to regain strength.

The animated gif seen above is compiled from visible light satellite photos with time given in UTC. Local Jamaican time is minus five hours. It will be updated with the latest images added every two hours through Sat and Sun. The forecaster is in foreign, as is the server, so updates will continue. We hope to have pics/reports sent from crew in Ja during the storm if net access holds up, and we'll post them as soon as they arrive.
unable to upload radar loop
bob
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bob · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2007 11:38 pm Post subject: Re: JAMAICA

from jamaica:
This weather report is provided by the Jamaican Caves Organization as an aid to cavers, climbers, researchers, bird-watchers, naturalists, hikers, and any others who require guidance on weather conditions for the interior/elevated districts of Jamaica.

Overview:

(Aug 18, 2007 - 10:00 PM EST) - Hurricane Dean is currently a Category 4 hurricane and is expected to pass over or close to Jamaica on Sunday. Residents of JA are advised to take all precautions, expecially those in coastal and low-lying areas. Storm surges and local flooding are likely. Total rainfall will be 15 - 25 cm. Winds could be in excess of 250 km/h in high exposed areas.

As of Saturday 10:00 PM local Jamaican time, the storm is well-organised and at dangerous category four levels, but the track has shifted slightly to the south. Some weakening may happen overnight. However, the storm will have a number of hours on Sunday morning to regain strength before it reaches Jamaica.

bob
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bob · Posted: Sun Aug 19, 2007 10:57 am Post subject: Re: JAMAICA

Latest report from Jamalca:

This weather report is provided by the Jamaican Caves Organization as an aid to cavers, climbers, researchers, bird-watchers, naturalists, hikers, and any others who require guidance on weather conditions for the interior/elevated districts of Jamaica.

Overview:

(Aug 19, 2007 - 7:00 PM EST) - Hurricane Dean is currently a Category 4 hurricane and is expected to pass south of Jamaica during the course of today. The track shifted south overnight and a direct hit is now unlikely. However, it will come very close and residents of JA are advised to take all precautions, expecially those in southern coastal and low-lying areas. Storm surges and local flooding are likely. Total rainfall will be 15 - 25 cm. Winds could be in excess of 250 km/h in high exposed areas.

The animated gif seen above is compiled from visible light satellite photos with time given in UTC. Local Jamaican time is minus five hours. It will be updated with the latest images added frequently.

We hope to have pics/reports sent from JCO crew in varous parts of Ja during the storm on Sunday if net access holds up, and we'll post them as soon as they arrive. The webmaster is in foreign as of last Tuesday, and the server is hosted in Babylon, so no fear of us disappearing.

Conditions will start to get rough this morning as Dean approaches. By Sunday at noon, storm surges can be expected in eastern coastal areas. At around noon, the hurricane will begin to pass over the island.
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bob · Posted: Sun Aug 19, 2007 4:22 pm Post subject: Re: JAMAICA

Great close up loop:

http://www.jamaicancaves.org/jamaica-weather.htm

Also the 10 day Jamaican Farming Forecast found near the end of the above link:Jamaican Farming Advisory:

Afternoon storms continue. It will be dryest in the morning, so start early on the farm, and then relax with a nice red pea soup and a Guinness in the early afternoon.

Hurricane? No worries mon Smile

bob
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