Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 1479 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2007 10:39 pm Post subject: Re: December surprise? - Tropical Storm Olga
The characteristics of this storm seem to be getting better each day. I wouldn't be surprised to see it strengthen a little bit considering how warm it's been in the southern hemisphere. Water temperatures are somewhat chilly for development but anything can happen with these things. I remember in 2005 there was a system that developed in January. _________________ Chris
Site Administrator
Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather
Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 1479 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2007 10:43 pm Post subject: Re: December surprise? - Tropical Storm Olga
Not five minutes after posting I see we have subtropical storm Olga!
000
WTNT32 KNHC 110232
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007
1100 PM AST MON DEC 10 2007
...LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
DEVELOPS INTO SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA...
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC....THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BAHIO DE
MANZANILLO AT THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...AND
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE SOUTHWEST OF SANTO
DOMINGO.
INTERESTS IN PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF OLGA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST OR ABOUT
55 MILES... 85 KM...EAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT
300 MILES...485 KM...EAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE
CENTER NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO LATER TONIGHT...AND
NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. SOME SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER APPROACHES THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM TO THE NORTH
OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41043 RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE AVERAGE
WINDS OF 38 MPH...61 KM/HR...AT AN ELEVATION OF 5 METERS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. ST.
THOMAS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF
1006.4 MB...29.72 INCHES.
SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
6 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...18.5 N...65.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM AST.
Posted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 6:20 am Post subject: Re: December surprise? - Tropical Storm Olga
SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007
500 AM AST TUE DEC 11 2007
...CENTER OF OLGA HUGGING THE NORTHERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO...
...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS OVER HISPANIOLA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BAHIO DE
MANZANILLO AT THE BORDER WITH HAITI...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO.
INTERESTS IN HAITI SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OLGA...ESPECIALLY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES... 95 KM...WEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 190 MILES...
305 KM...EAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS
TRACK THE CENTER OF OLGA WILL MOVE AWAY FROM PUERTO RICO LATER THIS
MORNING...AND NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE OLGA REACHES
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...BUT WEAKENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER AS
OLGA INTERACTS WITH THE TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM...MAINLY TO
THE NORTH FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
6 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...18.5 N...67.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM AST. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 7:50 pm Post subject: Re: December surprise? - Tropical Storm Olga
Olga now TROPICAL.
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OLGA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007
800 PM AST TUE DEC 11 2007
...HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS OLGA A LITTLE STRONGER WITH TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE
ST. NICHOLAS HAITI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
DATA FROM A HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE STRONGER WINDS
ARE NOW CLOSER TO THE CENTER SUGGESTING THAT OLGA HAS TRANSITIONED
TO A TROPICAL STORM.
AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS
LOCATED INLAND OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NEAR LATITUDE 18.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...45 KM... NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND JUST SOUTH
OF BAHIA DE SAMANA.
OLGA IS MOVING ON A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF OLGA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER LAND
FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO AN AREA JUST NORTH OF THE
CENTER. A SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. COPEY
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ON THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
JUST MEASURED WIND GUSTS TO 63 MPH...102 KM/HR.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES IN PUERTO
RICO AND HISPANIOLA.
REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...18.8 N...69.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 1479 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 11:08 pm Post subject: Re: December surprise? - Tropical Storm Olga
If it's tropical then it may have a shot. Still very warm in the southern hemisphere but shear may start to pick it apart. Just have to wait and see what happens. Let's hope so. It would be wierd having a hurricane in December. Has that ever happened? _________________ Chris
Site Administrator
Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather
Posted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 3:42 pm Post subject: Re: December surprise? - Tropical Storm Olga
chris wrote:
If it's tropical then it may have a shot. Still very warm in the southern hemisphere but shear may start to pick it apart. Just have to wait and see what happens. Let's hope so. It would be wierd having a hurricane in December. Has that ever happened?
Very rare. There was a Caribbean December Hurricane in the 1950s. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 3:51 pm Post subject: Re: December surprise? - Tropical Storm Olga
The remnants of Olga could bring a bunch of rainfall for us over the weekend. All the moisture to our south will be pulled north as the approaching cold front will swing the winds to the southwest. Maybe we can finally catch a break. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
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