Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 8:15 am Post subject: Re: HANNA
Manuel wrote:
I think the early visible satellite pictures suggest that Hanna is reforming farther to the south...under the convection. Could that be possible?
Yes, that is possible. I don't see any evidence of an exposed LLC. It must have tucked in under the convection during the night as the shear from the ULL let up. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 8:23 am Post subject: Re: HANNA
Like I said last week, this pattern is downright scary. We are likely to have a 1-2 punch next week from a Cat 4 Gustav into the oil rigs off LA and Hanna as a Cat 2/3 into Florida......with more lining up down the pike. The global warming zealots will be out in force. _________________ No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 5:53 pm Post subject: Re: HANNA
Hanna is going to be a very large cane....... covering a huge amount of territory. Probably the biggest since Isabel _________________ No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 8:44 pm Post subject: Re: HANNA
I want to make my thoughts clear here regarding Hanna. While I feel she will not be as strong as Gustav (145 at peak), Hanna will likely be in the 120-130 range as she takes a Katrina-esk path across the Southern tip of Florida on Friday and makes the right turn (NW) coming out around Everglade City aimed at the western panhandle. The tremendous scope of this storm will mean widespread flooding rains for the whole state except maybe the NE corner may escape the worst of it. While I would be foolish to say a repeat of 30 inch rains will occur, widespread 10-20 inch amounts will occur South and West of a Daytona Beach - Ocala line. This on top of what occurred with Fay will make a bad storm seem really bad. Of course things could change but I think preparations for this one should not be taken lightly _________________ No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once
Joined: Jul 17, 2008 Posts: 21 Location: N. Ft. Myers, FL
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 9:33 pm Post subject: Re: HANNA
SW46TER wrote:
I want to make my thoughts clear here regarding Hanna. While I feel she will not be as strong as Gustav (145 at peak), Hanna will likely be in the 120-130 range as she takes a Katrina-esk path across the Southern tip of Florida on Friday and makes the right turn (NW) coming out around Everglade City aimed at the western panhandle. The tremendous scope of this storm will mean widespread flooding rains for the whole state except maybe the NE corner may escape the worst of it. While I would be foolish to say a repeat of 30 inch rains will occur, widespread 10-20 inch amounts will occur South and West of a Daytona Beach - Ocala line. This on top of what occurred with Fay will make a bad storm seem really bad. Of course things could change but I think preparations for this one should not be taken lightly
Jeff, if you're right this is scary as hell!!! If she follows the path you've indicated and comes out around Everglade City heading NW that puts SWF right in the path of a huge storm surge, right? This on top of torrential rains and high winds? Be a pal and tell me I'm wrong.
Do you (or anyone) know where I can find a chart that shows what areas would be covered depending on how high the surge might be?
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 9:44 pm Post subject: Re: HANNA
hoosierhoney wrote:
SW46TER wrote:
I want to make my thoughts clear here regarding Hanna. While I feel she will not be as strong as Gustav (145 at peak), Hanna will likely be in the 120-130 range as she takes a Katrina-esk path across the Southern tip of Florida on Friday and makes the right turn (NW) coming out around Everglade City aimed at the western panhandle. The tremendous scope of this storm will mean widespread flooding rains for the whole state except maybe the NE corner may escape the worst of it. While I would be foolish to say a repeat of 30 inch rains will occur, widespread 10-20 inch amounts will occur South and West of a Daytona Beach - Ocala line. This on top of what occurred with Fay will make a bad storm seem really bad. Of course things could change but I think preparations for this one should not be taken lightly
Jeff, if you're right this is scary as hell!!! If she follows the path you've indicated and comes out around Everglade City heading NW that puts SWF right in the path of a huge storm surge, right? This on top of torrential rains and high winds? Be a pal and tell me I'm wrong.
Do you (or anyone) know where I can find a chart that shows what areas would be covered depending on how high the surge might be?
Thanks, ...Honey
A storm exiting Florida to our south will cause the winds to blow from shore to offshore. No surge. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Joined: Jul 17, 2008 Posts: 21 Location: N. Ft. Myers, FL
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 11:00 pm Post subject: Re: HANNA
Lou,
Thanks for the clarification. I thought the right (east) side of a hurricane was the strongest side and that's where the surge was the worst. Sorry to take up your time with "amateur" questions.
I'd still like to know where I can find a chart that shows what areas in the Cape or N. Ft.Myers would be covered depending on how high a storm surge might be? If anyone knows, please let me know. ...Honey
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Thanks..Got some interesting days ahead for sure.
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