Now that were all on the same page, lets talk Franklin.

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1197

I was happy that the NHC quickly upgraded Franklin to Tropical Storm status soon after it was properly named on the Cape Coral Hurricane Center (CCHC) (officially named by Chris Smile

) Franklin is currently being affected by shear from the NE and may even weaken a bit in the next advisory.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT...-loop.html

As stated before, I feel this storm will meander around the same general area (Bahamas to Central FL Coast) for several days. As the sheer relaxes the storm will get better organized. However, noting the projected path from the NHC
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic...5day?large

it is difficult to determine if the storm will attain hurricane status if it traverses over the same water over the next 5 days as cooler water will be upwelled to the sea surface, cutting down on the strengthening potential UNTIL HE MAKES A TRUE MOVE.....The projected path at the end of the period shows the NHC prefers my option # 2 which I discussed earlier today, moving the storm WSW toward Palm Beach/ Melbourne area then potentially across the state toward our back yard. While we would get some substantial rain over here, WIND WOULD NOT BE A BIG ISSUE ON THE WEST COAST. The only concern for wind (>50mph) would be if the storm stalled just off the west coast and re-generated (not likely). One side note: Notice on the first link all the convection from the circulation along Central America is being drawn Northward into Franklin. This could add extra energy into the storm as the shear relaxes. This also lessens the possibility of that system becoming anything in the SW gulf as Franklin is robbing it's energy..........