Posted: Sun Oct 05, 2008 8:00 pm Post subject: Re: Invest 96L- Now MARCO
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN OCT 5 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A SMALL BUT WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ALONG THE
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED
AND BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION
TODAY...AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE
SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY...THEN SOME
ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION COULD OCCUR.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Mon Oct 06, 2008 5:12 pm Post subject: Re: Invest 96L- Now MARCO
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARCO ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132008
400 PM CDT MON OCT 06 2008
...BAY OF CAMPECHE DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM CABO ROJO
SOUTHWARD TO VERACRUZ. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM CABO ROJO SOUTHWARD TO
PUNTA EL LAGARTO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN HAS STRENGTHENED...AND IS NOW A
TROPICAL STORM.
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARCO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT 100
MILES...160 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
MARCO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF
MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND MARCO COULD APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH AS
IT NEARS THE COAST.
MARCO IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT WAS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...NORTHERN OAXACA...AND TABASCO.
REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...19.5 N...94.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 1540 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Mon Oct 06, 2008 7:45 pm Post subject: Re: Invest 96L- Now MARCO
LOL! Marco sure is a dink compared to the wind field of Ike and others that have formed this year. Fay probably had a bigger wind field than Marco the Dink. Neat little storm though with a tight core.
Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 6:48 am Post subject: Re: Invest 96L- Now MARCO
This comment by the NHC would make Marco the smallest tropical cyclone on record.
"MARCO IS AN EXTREMELY SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ONLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM FROM THE CENTER." _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 5:29 pm Post subject: Re: Invest 96L- Now MARCO
Comment by NHC forecaster Stewart.
"I HAVE WORKED SOME TINY TYPHOONS IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC
BEFORE...BUT HORIZONTALLY-CHALLENGED MARCO COULD BE THE SMALLEST TROPICAL CYCLONE ON RECORD." _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
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Neat little storm though with a tight core.
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