Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2012 12:57 pm Post subject: GORDON-Final Advisory Issued.
It's not often that the NHC will mention a system that is still over Africa.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
200 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ERNESTO...LOCATED NEAR COATZACOALCOS MEXICO.
A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED MIDWAY BETWEEN THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. A SMALL AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED AROUND THE
CENTER OF CIRCULATION...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH...THE REMNANTS OF FLORENCE...IS PRODUCING AN
AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS MAY BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...SIGNIFICANT REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.
A TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS
APPROACHING THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA WITH MINIMAL SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Last edited by ccstorms on Mon Aug 20, 2012 4:26 pm; edited 16 times in total
Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2012 7:01 pm Post subject: Re: GORDON-Final Advisory Issued.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
ACCOMPANIED BY AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE WEST COAST OF
AFRICA. CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2012 7:30 pm Post subject: Re: GORDON-Final Advisory Issued.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0017 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Joined: Jun 08, 2005 Posts: 3145 Location: Cape Coral, Florida
Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:48 pm Post subject: Re: GORDON-Final Advisory Issued.
Feet wet and 30%! Very impressive to say the least. GFS seems to really like this disturbance. _________________ Chris
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Posted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 4:10 am Post subject: Re: GORDON-Final Advisory Issued.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ERNESTO...LOCATED INLAND ABOUT 80 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
OAXACA MEXICO...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...LOCATED ABOUT
1045 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS MINIMAL IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE REMNANTS OF FLORENCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF
PUERTO RICO. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS MAY BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CONDUCIVE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...SIGNIFICANT REDEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
A TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND AFRICA. THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
AROUND 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS
OF DEVELOPMENT...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
Posted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 4:42 am Post subject: Re: GORDON-Final Advisory Issued.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0646 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Posted: Fri Aug 10, 2012 12:45 pm Post subject: Re: GORDON-Final Advisory Issued.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON THE
REMNANTS OF ERNESTO...LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO. ADVISORIES ARE
BEING ISSUED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES
EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS DIMINISHING NEAR A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC JUST TO THE EAST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THE LOW IS MOVING TOWARD COLDER WATER...
AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
APPEARS TO BE DECREASING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH. GUSTY WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. _________________ LOU
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
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