Posted: Sun Jul 16, 2006 11:20 am Post subject: CONVECTIVE BURST OFF THE CAROLINAS
keep an eye on this area for possible development. The models forecast this disturbed area to be shunted off to the northeast, however watch the southern portion for the chance it will be cut off and left behind as the rest of the front heads out.. Should be interesting.
[url][/url] _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Sun Jul 16, 2006 11:43 am Post subject: Re: CONVECTIVE BURST OFF THE CAROLINAS
Recon flight Tuesday if necessary.
071
NOUS42 KNHC 161500
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT SUN 16 JUL 2006
SUBJECT: TROPICAL STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (TSPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z JUL 2006
TSPOD NUMBER.....06-047
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY..POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST
AT 18/1800Z NEAR 35N 72W _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Sun Jul 16, 2006 11:00 pm Post subject: Re: CONVECTIVE BURST OFF THE CAROLINAS
They just might need to do the recon Tue.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SUN JUL 16 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM...CONTINUES OFF THE COASTS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA AND STRETCHES NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. TWO AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE REMAIN LOCATED ALONG THE FRONT. THE FIRST LOW...CENTERED ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE COD MASSACHUSETTS...SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION BUT WILL
LIKELY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BEFORE TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT CAN OCCUR.
THE SECOND LOW...CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE SECOND LOW IS POSSIBLE.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.
Joined: May 21, 2006 Posts: 132 Location: Southeast Florida
Posted: Mon Jul 17, 2006 4:24 am Post subject: Re: CONVECTIVE BURST OFF THE CAROLINAS
Part of the energy from the dead front appears to be moving SSW.This should be interesting as it is not expected to move much during the next day.We shall see if a TD will form from this.
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