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Cape Coral Online Weather :: View topic - NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L
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NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L
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This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral Online Weather Forum Index -> 2006 Hurricane Season
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 2146
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:46 pm    Post subject: NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L Reply with quote

"A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INTERACTING WITH A MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING A BROAD AREA OF
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND EXTENDING WESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...
AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE
HIGH...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR. HOWEVER...SINCE THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING LITTLE...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND SOUTH
FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO."

FORECASTER STEWART
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This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/


Last edited by ccstorms on Wed Sep 06, 2006 4:03 pm; edited 1 time in total
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ccstorms
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Posts: 2146
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 05, 2006 11:30 am    Post subject: Re: NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L Reply with quote

11:30 am Tuseday.. NHC..

"A BROAD AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN BAHAMAS
AND FLORIDA REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS
NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE AREAS AND ADJACENT WATERS
FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO."

FORECASTER STEWART
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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capecodder
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2006 3:22 am    Post subject: Re: NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L Reply with quote

Hello Lou, and everybody. Rich here from Cape Cod.

The area off Florida/Bahamas is a concern to us up the coast. Quick development could cause unexpected problems on the battered coast from Hatteras North.

I'm glad that forecaster Stewart commented on this area. Looks like this is the year that we (up North) need to pay attention to all of these tropical systems.

Rich
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2006 4:04 pm    Post subject: Re: NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L Reply with quote


_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
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http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2006 4:05 pm    Post subject: Re: NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L Reply with quote

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL922006) ON 20060906 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060906 1800 060907 0600 060907 1800 060908 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.2N 78.4W 34.0N 75.0W 37.2N 70.9W 40.2N 64.9W
BAMM 31.2N 78.4W 33.6N 75.9W 36.2N 73.1W 38.6N 69.2W
A98E 31.2N 78.4W 33.2N 76.0W 35.3N 72.5W 38.4N 68.5W
LBAR 31.2N 78.4W 33.3N 75.4W 36.1N 71.9W 39.7N 67.6W
SHIP 25KTS 33KTS 43KTS 49KTS
DSHP 25KTS 33KTS 43KTS 49KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060908 1800 060909 1800 060910 1800 060911 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 42.8N 56.8W 41.5N 38.6W 37.0N 31.1W 34.9N 22.5W
BAMM 40.9N 64.5W 44.0N 51.9W 43.6N 38.2W 44.0N 25.5W
A98E 41.1N 62.4W 43.0N 45.0W 40.9N 26.7W 34.2N 17.5W
LBAR 43.3N 60.6W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 52KTS 49KTS 44KTS 33KTS
DSHP 52KTS 49KTS 44KTS 33KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 31.2N LONCUR = 78.4W DIRCUR = 50DEG SPDCUR = 13KT
LATM12 = 30.0N LONM12 = 81.0W DIRM12 = 66DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 28.8N LONM24 = 83.6W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1012MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 125NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2006 4:09 pm    Post subject: Re: NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L Reply with quote

Hello Rich, welcome to the forum. That Bahamas disturbance is now Invest 92L and as you can see above, the first model run curves it out to sea. Good news!
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
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http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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capecodder
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2006 4:38 pm    Post subject: Re: NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L Reply with quote

ccstorms wrote:
Hello Rich, welcome to the forum. That Bahamas disturbance is now Invest 92L and as you can see above, the first model run curves it out to sea. Good news!


Good news indeed, and thanks for the welcome. Now if we can get Flo to do the same. Very Happy

Rich
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chris
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2006 5:12 pm    Post subject: Re: NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L Reply with quote

capecodder wrote:
ccstorms wrote:
Hello Rich, welcome to the forum. That Bahamas disturbance is now Invest 92L and as you can see above, the first model run curves it out to sea. Good news!


Good news indeed, and thanks for the welcome. Now if we can get Flo to do the same. Very Happy

Rich


Hi Rich, I wanted to give you a welcome to the forum as well. I'm with you guys and hope Flo tails out to sea and doesnt put any threat to the east coast. Very Happy

Chris
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2006 5:19 pm    Post subject: Re: NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L Reply with quote

By the way, Recon is in the air and heading for Invest 92L.
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This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
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http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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SW46TER
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2006 7:40 pm    Post subject: Re: NHC WATCHING THE BAHAMAS-NOW INVEST 92L Reply with quote

If this system does develop, the ridging occurring behind it as it moves NE................Cancel Florence recurve Sad Sad Sad Sad Sad Sad Sad Sad
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