TD #8 formed, but doesnt appear to be a threat

chris

Jeff, well we have TD #8 on our hands but by looking at the 5 day forecast it doesnt appear to be any threat to Florida, much less the US. Whats your thoughts? Below is the latest adv.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE AUG 02 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS...WARNING ISSUED FOR BERMUDA...

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST OR ABOUT
350 MILES... 565 KM... SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH
...20 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...28.5 N... 68.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.

Chris

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1180

TD# 8 is not any threat to the United States. It was the system I was afraid would develop in the Southern Bahamas last weekend and cross FLA and become a TS in the Gulf. It decided to stall over 3 days North of P.R. and the upper air pattern changed to steer it North when it began moving again yesterday. Get ready in about 7 to 10 days as the African Conga line is going to mean serious business as soon as the brief flair up of activity in the Pacific Ocean is done.