SAT 8/6 Am...2 Home Grown Areas Need To Be Watched...

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1119

This mornings Enhanced Satellite shows 2 areas nearby of interest. The first area is off S.C. and has excellent inflow from the S.E. and a good ball of convection. Slow development is possible here if the convection doesn't wane overnight. This storm either way will bring some decent rains along the mid atlantic coast and will turn NE from Cape Hatteras to off Cape Cod as a stalled front over Northern VA will prevent it from making landfall North of Hatteras. The second area is the same place discussed last week...just S.E. of New Orleans as another weak low pressure area has formed (close to coast0 and will drift ENE towards the panhandle. Only if this area stalls for a few days would tropical development be likely.

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1119

Interesting to note that radar composites showing large slug of moisture to our WNW related to the low off Mobile AL is actually holding together and approaching the West Coast of FL. even as far South as the Cape. If this moisture holds together we will see somewhat of a rarity this time of year...evening organized weather coming East off the Gulf W/O a tropical system out there................or is there?.......time will tell.

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1119

I don't know what the boys up in Tampa are looking at as they're still plugging a 30% chance of early showers here. I'm looking at an organized cluster of showers and T-Storms extending 40-75 miles to our west and showing no signs of dissipating anytime soon. Lets see...total areal coverage for 1-3 hours ....probs. should be bumped up to at least 70% before midnight. The pool could use the cooldown Very Happy

chris

I hear that Jeff, they need to fix that. Those showers are moving slow in the Gulf and should be hitting us very soon. A lot of lightning activity getting detected in them as well. Should be a large enough storm to water the lawn a little bit. Cool

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1119

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
904 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...MID AFTERNOON CONVECTION HAS DECAYED INTO MOSTLY
SHOWERS EXCEPT IN THE FAR SOUTH WHERE A FEW TSTMS WILL LINGER A
LITTLE BIT LONGER. HOWEVER...SW FLOW TONIGHT WITH LARGE AREAS OF
RW/TSTMS OVER THE GULF THAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE/ ALTHOUGH
DECREASING FROM SCATTERED TO ISOLATED COVERAGE/ WILL SUPPORT
ISOLATED POPS IN THE COASTAL ZONES OVERNIGHT.

Afew storms?...............These are borderline severe and we could have flash flooding by midnight if the area of rain in the gulf holds together. I'm sure glad they will choose to keep isolated precip along the coast overnight. How stupid they'll seem if they need to issue flood warnings. Stay indoors next hour very dangerous lightning.............

chris

Jeff, could you include a hyperlink as to where you found the discussion for SW fla? I think that would be a good addition for CW. We sure are having a lot of lightning! This storm is going to last a long time too, theres a lot more behind what were getting now like you said.

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1119

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/TBW/AFDTBW.0508070105

chris

Thanks

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1119

Yep................This is my kinda weather....when it comes from the West, I handle it best...... Smile

chris

Yep, thats funny you mentioned that. The other day I was browsing and found a bunch of those sayings. Heres the link.

Have to scroll down a little bit

http://wilstar.com/skywatch.htm