Sub-tropical Depression 11 now Tropical Storm Jerry.

ccstorms · Last edited by ccstorms on Mon Sep 24, 2007 5:29 am; edited 4 times in total

25 kts, ...36.0N-45.5W

_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms

Fish storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2045 UTC SAT SEP 22 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952007) 20070922 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070922 1800 070923 0600 070923 1800 070924 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 36.0N 45.5W 36.4N 45.9W 37.1N 46.4W 38.2N 46.2W
BAMD 36.0N 45.5W 37.2N 45.1W 38.4N 45.2W 40.2N 44.5W
BAMM 36.0N 45.5W 36.7N 45.8W 37.6N 46.3W 38.8N 46.2W
LBAR 36.0N 45.5W 36.5N 44.7W 37.2N 44.1W 38.2N 43.2W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 37KTS 44KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 37KTS 44KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070924 1800 070925 1800 070926 1800 070927 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 40.3N 43.8W 48.2N 38.1W 55.5N 35.9W 60.4N 35.0W
BAMD 43.2N 42.2W 53.1N 42.0W 60.0N 43.4W 64.2N 43.0W
BAMM 41.2N 43.6W 49.9N 40.6W 57.0N 39.9W 61.6N 39.8W
LBAR 40.0N 41.7W 47.4N 34.3W 55.6N 23.7W 56.3N 19.5W
SHIP 50KTS 71KTS 73KTS 62KTS
DSHP 50KTS 71KTS 73KTS 62KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 36.0N LONCUR = 45.5W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 0KT
LATM12 = 36.0N LONM12 = 45.5W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 = 0KT
LATM24 = 36.0N LONM24 = 45.5W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms

_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

Nolesjeff

Did you see how far south it was pulling moisture from? WOW!
_________________
GO NOLES

ccstorms

000
WTNT31 KNHC 230848
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007
500 AM AST SUN SEP 23 2007

...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS FAR FROM LAND IN THE NORTH CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.1 WEST OR ABOUT
1060 MILES...1705 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES.

THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY STATIONARY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A
SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH LATER TODAY...WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING
OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC...WELL TO THE
WEST OF THE AZORES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
THE DEPRESSION GAINS MORE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...AND IT COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...36.2 N...46.1 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

FORECASTER KNABB
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms

_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms

_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms

WTNT31 KNHC 231427
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 23 2007

...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A SUBTROPICAL STORM...NO
THREAT TO LAND...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1070
MILES...1725 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES.

THE STORM IS NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED BY TONIGHT OR EARLY ON MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE STORM WILL
BE MOVING OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC...WELL
TO THE WEST OF THE AZORES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND JERRY IS LIKELY TO ACQUIRE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
LATER TODAY.

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE
CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...36.0 N...46.3 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

bob

Remember Jerry?

Thought it interesting that computer models show Jerry and his remains to make landfall in...GREENLAND!!! scratch

Now there's a tropical hotspot!!! Cool

http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html
scroll down to Jerrycomputer models

bob
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Sit back, relax and enjoy the show!