POSSIBLE COASTAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT

ccstorms

Have to watch for possible tropical development off the coastal area near Sarasota.

plus for development.
1-mid-level circulation off the coast.
2-building convection.
3-850 mb Vorticity is good.
4-Low level convergence is good.
5-upper level divergence is good.
6-water temps are ideal.

negative for development
1-needs to develop a low level circulation
2-needs time.
3-needs to pull a little further offshore.
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms

_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

CONVECTIVEMIKE

Now we are talking business !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Surprised

ccstorms

Quite a bit of rain on tap for tonight. Ground is already saturated so flooding is very likely.

_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1180

Agreed.........This should be a TD by tomorrow afternoon/evening and even a minimal TS on Thurs. Will not have chance to get out of hand though before it moves inland over Panhandle
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No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once

ccstorms

SW46TER · Senior Member Joined: Jul 11, 2005 Posts: 1180

Yeah Lou.....I do. But it doesn't suck to sit by the pool when it's 80 with a dewpoint of 52 in July Laughing

_________________
No...I am not a tropical forecaster....But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once

CONVECTIVEMIKE

Too crisp for me Jeff. Where are the polar bears ?

ccstorms

While all three negative factors for development are still present this morning, it still needs to be watched just in case a center forms further west and south.

_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/

ccstorms

Bands of very heavy rain are approaching from the west and southwest. Rainfall rates will be very high and flooding is certain due to the already saturated soil.

_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/